QQ客服 官方微博 反馈留言

	Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land Use/Cover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China
	Wu F.; Zhan, J. Y.; Su, H. B.; Yan, H. M.; Ma, E. J.
	2015
关键词	use/land cover streamflow variability simulation management catchment responses dynamics region area
英文摘要	This study evaluated hydrological impacts of potential climate and land use changes in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China. The future climate data for the simulation with Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) were prepared using a dynamical downscaling method. The future land uses were simulated with the Dynamic Land Use System(DLS) model by establishing Multinomial Logistic Regression (MNL) model for six land use types. In 2006-2030, land uses in the basin will experience a significant change with a prominent increase in urban areas, a moderate increase in grassland, and a great decrease in unused land. Besides, the simulation results showed that in comparison to those during 1981-2005 the temperature and precipitation during 2006-2030 will change by +0.8 degrees C and +10.8%, respectively. The land use change and climate change will jointly make the water yield change by +8.5%, while they will separately make the water yield change by -1.8% and +9.8%, respectively. The predicted large increase in future precipitation and the corresponding decrease in unused land will have substantial impacts on the watershed hydrology, especially on the surface runoff and streamflow. Therefore, to mitigate negative hydrological impacts and utilize positive impacts, both land use and climate changes should be considered in water resource planning for the Heihe River Basin.
出处	Advances in Meteorology
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
ISSN号	1687-9309
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/38951]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu F.,Zhan, J. Y.,Su, H. B.,et al. Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land Use/Cover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China. 2015.

个性服务

查看访问统计

相关权益政策

暂无数据

收藏/分享

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。