QQ客服 官方微博 反馈留言

	CERES-Maize model-based simulation of climate change impacts on maize yields and potential adaptive measures in Heilongjiang Province, China
	Lin Y. M.; Wu, W. X.; Ge, Q. S.
	2015
关键词	climate change impacts adaptive measures CERES-Maize model Heilongjiang Province co2 fertilization adaptation strategies wheat production crop production elevated co2 rice yields scenarios environment plain vulnerability
英文摘要	BACKGROUNDClimate change would cause negative impacts on future agricultural production and food security. Adaptive measures should be taken to mitigate the adverse effects. The objectives of this study were to simulate the potential effects of climate change on maize yields in Heilongjiang Province and to evaluate two selected typical household-level autonomous adaptive measures (cultivar changes and planting time adjustments) for mitigating the risks of climate change based on the CERES-Maize model. RESULTSThe results showed that flowering duration and maturity duration of maize would be shortened in the future climate and thus maize yield would reduce by 11-46% during 2011-2099 relative to 1981-2010. Increased CO2 concentration would not benefit maize production significantly. However, substituting local cultivars with later-maturing ones and delaying the planting date could increase yields as the climate changes. CONCLUSIONThe results provide insight regarding the likely impacts of climate change on maize yields and the efficacy of selected adaptive measures by presenting evidence-based implications and mitigation strategies for the potential negative impacts of future climate change. (c) 2014 Society of Chemical Industry
出处	Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture
卷	95
期	14
页	2838-2849
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
ISSN号	0022-5142
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/38730]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lin Y. M.,Wu, W. X.,Ge, Q. S.. CERES-Maize model-based simulation of climate change impacts on maize yields and potential adaptive measures in Heilongjiang Province, China. 2015.

个性服务

查看访问统计

相关权益政策

暂无数据

收藏/分享

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。