QQ客服 官方微博 反馈留言

	Climate change threatens giant panda protection in the 21st century
	Li R. Q.; Xu, M.; Wong, M. H. G.; Qiu, S.; Li, X. H.; Ehrenfeld, D.; Li, D. M.
	2015
关键词	Biotic interaction Climate change Conservation effectiveness Conservation policies Giant panda habitats species distribution models biotic interactions nature-reserves envelope models absence data distributions china habitat biodiversity impacts
英文摘要	It is increasingly recognized that biotic interactions could play a significant role in species distribution modelling. To assess the conservation effectiveness of the giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) reserves in a changing climate, we combined both biotic variables (food availability) and abiotic (climatic and geographic) to project the potential changes of distribution and quality of giant panda habitats using the most recent IPCC-CMIP5 climate scenarios. Our results suggested that climate change would adversely affect giant pandas through habitat degradation, in that: (1) 52.9-71.3% of the current habitats could be lost; (2) the giant panda habitats could become more fragmented and isolated; and (3) both the quantity and quality of habitats in the current giant panda reserves could substantially contract, and approximately 20% of the reserves could lose all habitat representations in this century. Additionally, we found that climate change would make it increasingly necessary to translocate small populations of pandas from the southwestern to the northwestern part of the current distribution range to ensure population viability. Our results suggest the need for immediate change in current conservation policies and formulating adaptation plans for giant panda conservation in a changing climate. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
出处	Biological Conservation
卷	182
页	93-101
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
ISSN号	0006-3207
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/38697]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li R. Q.,Xu, M.,Wong, M. H. G.,et al. Climate change threatens giant panda protection in the 21st century. 2015.

个性服务

查看访问统计

相关权益政策

暂无数据

收藏/分享

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。