The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments

CORC > 自动化研究所 > 中国科学院自动化研究所 > 复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室 > 先进控制与自动化团队

	The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments
	Chang ChaoYi 1,2,7; Cao ChunXiang 1,2; Wang Qiao 4; Chen Yu 6,7; Cao ZhiDong5 ; Zhang Hao 1,2; Dong Lei 1,2,7; Zhao Jian 1,2,7; Xu Min 1,2,7; Gao MengXu 1,2,7
刊名	CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
	2010-09-01
卷号	55 期号:26 页码:3030-3036
关键词	H1N1 influenza A airline transmission early warning basic reproductive number containment strategies
英文摘要	A novel influenza A (H1N1) has been spreading worldwide. Early studies implied that international air travels might be key cause of a severe potential pandemic without appropriate containments. In this study, early outbreaks in Mexico and some cities of United States were used to estimate the preliminary epidemic parameters by applying adjusted SEIR epidemiological model, indicating transmissibility infectivity of the virus. According to the findings, a new spatial allocation model totally based on the real-time airline data was established to assess the potential spreading of H1N1 from Mexico to the world. Our estimates find the basic reproductive number R0 of H1N1 is around 3.4, and the effective reproductive number fall sharply by effective containment strategies. The finding also implies Spain, Canada, France, Panama, Peru are the most possible country to be involved in severe endemic H1N1 spreading.
WOS标题词	Science & Technology
类目[WOS]	Multidisciplinary Sciences
研究领域[WOS]	Science & Technology - Other Topics
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000282175900017
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/3589]
专题	自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Jointly Sponsored Inst Remote Sensing Applicat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Satellite Environm Ctr, Minist Environm Protect, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, Key Lab Complex Syst & Intelligence Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Earth Observat & Digital Earth, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chang ChaoYi,Cao ChunXiang,Wang Qiao,et al. The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments[J]. CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,2010,55(26):3030-3036.
APA	Chang ChaoYi.,Cao ChunXiang.,Wang Qiao.,Chen Yu.,Cao ZhiDong.,...&Li XiaoWen.(2010).The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments.CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,55(26),3030-3036.
MLA	Chang ChaoYi,et al."The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments".CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN 55.26(2010):3030-3036.