Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China

CORC > 生态环境研究中心 > 中国科学院生态环境研究中心 > 城市与区域生态国家重点实验室

	Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China
	Xie, Ying ; Li, Xuyong ; Yang, Chunsheng ; Yu, Yang
刊名	Water Science and Technology-Water Supply
	2014
卷号	14 期号:6 页码:1057-1066
关键词	Luanhe river basin sustaining utilization system dynamics model water resource carrying capacity
ISSN号	1606-9749
中文摘要	Water shortage is a major problem in northern China, because of a huge population and rapid economic growth. Taking the Luanhe River Basin (LRB) as a study area, we set up a System Dynamics (SD) model of the basin for the period 2005-2010, and considered various important socioeconomic and environmental factors and their correlation. Significant trends for the period 2011-2030 were simulated and the water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) of the LRB and its trends over the next 30 years were analyzed. The results indicate a decreasing trend of WRCC in the basin and that current economic growth is not sustainable. The study investigated possible optimized allocation projects. The most apt project would involve a combination of strategies that could considerably increase the WRCC, reduce demand, and improve water quality.
WOS记录号	WOS:000348791100014
公开日期	2015-03-23
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.rcees.ac.cn/handle/311016/9110]
专题	生态环境研究中心_城市与区域生态国家重点实验室
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xie, Ying,Li, Xuyong,Yang, Chunsheng,et al. Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China[J]. Water Science and Technology-Water Supply,2014,14(6):1057-1066.
APA	Xie, Ying,Li, Xuyong,Yang, Chunsheng,&Yu, Yang.(2014).Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China.Water Science and Technology-Water Supply,14(6),1057-1066.
MLA	Xie, Ying,et al."Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China".Water Science and Technology-Water Supply 14.6(2014):1057-1066.