Deforestation Trends and Spatial Modelling of its Drivers in the Dry Temperate Forests of Northern Pakistan – A Case Study of Chitral

CORC > 成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > Journal of Mountain Science > Journal of Mountain Science-2014 > Vol11 No.5

	Deforestation Trends and Spatial Modelling of its Drivers in the Dry Temperate Forests of Northern Pakistan – A Case Study of Chitral
	Khuram Shehzad ; Faisal M. Qamer ; MSR Murthy ; Sawaid Abbas ; Laxmi D. Bhatta
刊名	Journal of Mountain Science
	2014-09
卷号	11 期号:5 页码:1192-1207
关键词	Remote sensing Drivers of deforestation Cellular automata
通讯作者	Faisal M. Qamer
英文摘要	Deforestation is a major environmental challenge in the mountain areas of Pakistan. The study assessed trends in the forest cover in Chitral tehsil over the last two decades using supervised land cover classification of Landsat TM satellite images from 1992, 2000, and 2009, with a maximum likelihood algorithm. In 2009, the forest cover was 10.3% of the land area of Chitral (60,000 ha). The deforestation rate increased from 0.14% per annum in 1992–2000 to 0.54% per annum in 2000–2009, with 3,759 ha forest lost over the 17 years. The spatial drivers of deforestation were investigated using a cellular automaton modelling technique to project future forest conditions. Accessibility (elevation, slope), population density, distance to settlements, and distance to administrative boundary were strongly associated with neighbourhood deforestation. A model projection showed a further loss of 23% of existing forest in Chitral tehsil by 2030, and degradation of 8%, if deforestation continues at the present rate. Arandu Union Council, with 2212 households, will lose 85% of its forest. Local communities have limited income resources and high poverty and are heavily dependent on non-timber forest products for their livelihoods. Continued deforestation will further worsen their livelihood conditions, thus improved conservation efforts are essential.
收录类别	SCI
公开日期	2014-09-17
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/7248]
专题	成都山地灾害与环境研究所_Journal of Mountain Science _Journal of Mountain Science-2014_Vol11 No.5
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Khuram Shehzad,Faisal M. Qamer,MSR Murthy,et al. Deforestation Trends and Spatial Modelling of its Drivers in the Dry Temperate Forests of Northern Pakistan – A Case Study of Chitral[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2014,11(5):1192-1207.
APA	Khuram Shehzad,Faisal M. Qamer,MSR Murthy,Sawaid Abbas,&Laxmi D. Bhatta.(2014).Deforestation Trends and Spatial Modelling of its Drivers in the Dry Temperate Forests of Northern Pakistan – A Case Study of Chitral.Journal of Mountain Science,11(5),1192-1207.
MLA	Khuram Shehzad,et al."Deforestation Trends and Spatial Modelling of its Drivers in the Dry Temperate Forests of Northern Pakistan – A Case Study of Chitral".Journal of Mountain Science 11.5(2014):1192-1207.