Behaviors of nonlinearities modulating the El Nio events induced by optimal precursory disturbances
Duan, Wansuo1; Yu, Yanshan2; Xu, Hui1; Zhao, Peng1,3
刊名CLIMATE DYNAMICS
2013-03-01
卷号40期号:5-6页码:1399-1413
关键词El Nino Nonlinearity Optimal perturbation
ISSN号0930-7575
通讯作者Duan, WS
中文摘要In the present paper, we explore the manner in which nonlinearities modulate El Nio events by investigating the optimal precursory disturbance for El Nio events in the Zebiak-Cane model. The initial anomalies of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and linear singular vectors (LSVs) are investigated. The CNOPs evolve into stronger El Nio events than the LSVs and act as the optimal precursor for El Nio events. By examining the role of nonlinearities in El Nio events induced by CNOPs and LSVs, we determined that, when the initial anomalies of the CNOP and LSV structures are large, the nonlinearities enhance CNOP-El Nio events but suppress LSV-El Nio events. Nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model arise from nonlinear temperature advection (NTA), sub-surface temperature parameterization (STP), and wind stress anomalies (WSA). Using these types of nonlinearities, we trace the approach of the nonlinearities modulating the CNOP- and LSV-El Nio events. The results demonstrate that nonlinearities that originate from NTA enhance both CNOP-El Nio events and LSV-El Nio events, while nonlinearities originating from STP and WSA suppress these events. For the CNOP-El Nio events, the enhancement effect of NTA is larger than the suppression effect of STP and WSA, resulting in the combined effect of the nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model being an enhancement of the CNOP-El Nio events. However, for the LSV-El Nio events, the enhancement effect of NTA is smaller than the suppression effect of WSA and STP. Consequently, the combined effect of the nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model suppresses the LSV-El Nio events.
英文摘要In the present paper, we explore the manner in which nonlinearities modulate El Nio events by investigating the optimal precursory disturbance for El Nio events in the Zebiak-Cane model. The initial anomalies of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and linear singular vectors (LSVs) are investigated. The CNOPs evolve into stronger El Nio events than the LSVs and act as the optimal precursor for El Nio events. By examining the role of nonlinearities in El Nio events induced by CNOPs and LSVs, we determined that, when the initial anomalies of the CNOP and LSV structures are large, the nonlinearities enhance CNOP-El Nio events but suppress LSV-El Nio events. Nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model arise from nonlinear temperature advection (NTA), sub-surface temperature parameterization (STP), and wind stress anomalies (WSA). Using these types of nonlinearities, we trace the approach of the nonlinearities modulating the CNOP- and LSV-El Nio events. The results demonstrate that nonlinearities that originate from NTA enhance both CNOP-El Nio events and LSV-El Nio events, while nonlinearities originating from STP and WSA suppress these events. For the CNOP-El Nio events, the enhancement effect of NTA is larger than the suppression effect of STP and WSA, resulting in the combined effect of the nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model being an enhancement of the CNOP-El Nio events. However, for the LSV-El Nio events, the enhancement effect of NTA is smaller than the suppression effect of WSA and STP. Consequently, the combined effect of the nonlinearities in the Zebiak-Cane model suppresses the LSV-El Nio events.
学科主题Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS标题词Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences
类目[WOS]Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
研究领域[WOS]Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
关键词[WOS]NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; OCEAN RECHARGE PARADIGM ; OPTIMAL PERTURBATION ; COUPLED MODEL ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; ENSO PREDICTABILITY ; DECADAL VARIABILITY ; CONCEPTUAL-MODEL ; ATMOSPHERE MODEL ; PREDICTION
收录类别SCI
原文出处10.1007/s00382-012-1557-z
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000315440100021
公开日期2014-07-17
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/16394]  
专题海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Duan, Wansuo,Yu, Yanshan,Xu, Hui,et al. Behaviors of nonlinearities modulating the El Nio events induced by optimal precursory disturbances[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2013,40(5-6):1399-1413.
APA Duan, Wansuo,Yu, Yanshan,Xu, Hui,&Zhao, Peng.(2013).Behaviors of nonlinearities modulating the El Nio events induced by optimal precursory disturbances.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,40(5-6),1399-1413.
MLA Duan, Wansuo,et al."Behaviors of nonlinearities modulating the El Nio events induced by optimal precursory disturbances".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 40.5-6(2013):1399-1413.
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