Exploring the Interactive Dynamic Influences Between Chinese and US's Future Markets
Huang, Haitao1,2; Zheng, Xiaolong1,2; Zeng, Dajun1,2
2022-08-17
会议日期2023-4-21
会议地点北京市朝阳区国家会议中心
关键词dynamic influences influence strength effective transfer entropy
页码917-928
英文摘要

In this paper, we focus on investigating the interactive dynamic influences between Chinese and USs future markets. Based on Chinese and USs futures daily closing prices, we construct Planar Maximally Filtered Graph of futures influences in different periods of time by calculating the Effective Transfer Entropy between different futures and find that influence strength between futures in USs and Chinese future markets is time-varying. We further confirm that agriculture futures both in Chinese and USs markets are relatively independent from other futures. And metal futures in LME and COMEX exert influences on Chinese metal, fuel and industrial product futures continuously. In contrast, fuel futures in NYMEX only affect Chinese fuel futures during economic shocks merely. These findings can give us some new insights into the direction, strength and underlying dynamics of influences between Chinese and USs future market and further guide people make better choices.

会议录Proceedings of 2022 10th China Conference on Command and Control
语种英语
内容类型会议论文
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/58520]  
专题多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室
通讯作者Zheng, Xiaolong
作者单位1.School of Artificial Intelligence, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
2.The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control of Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Huang, Haitao,Zheng, Xiaolong,Zeng, Dajun. Exploring the Interactive Dynamic Influences Between Chinese and US's Future Markets[C]. 见:. 北京市朝阳区国家会议中心. 2023-4-21.
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