PV array output power forecasting based on similar day and RBFNN | |
Wang, Xiaolan1,2; Ge, Pengjiang1 | |
刊名 | Dianli Zidonghua Shebei/Electric Power Automation Equipment |
2013 | |
卷号 | 33期号:1页码:100-103+109 |
关键词 | Atmospheric temperature Forecasting Functions Mean square error Models Neural networks Photovoltaic cells Solar radiation Forecasting modeling Mean absolute percentage error Output power PV arrays Rbfnn(radial basis function neural network) Root mean square errors Similar day Solar radiation intensity |
ISSN号 | 10066047 |
DOI | 10.3969/j.issn.1006-6047.2013.01.019 |
英文摘要 | As the solar radiation time, solar radiation intensity and air temperature are the main influencing factors of PV array output power and there is strong correlation in output power among the similar days, a forecasting model of PV array output power is designed based on similar days and RBFNN(Radial Basis Function Neural Network), which takes the difference of meteorological feature vector between the nearest similar day and the day to be forecasted as the input variable of RBFNN and its output as the forecasted PV array output power. The proposed model is trained and verified with the measured power dada of a PV array in Northwest China. Its mean absolute percentage error obtained is 13.82% and its root mean square error is 0.4054, showing its high accuracy. |
语种 | 中文 |
出版者 | Electric Power Automation Equipment Press |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/113697] |
专题 | 电气工程与信息工程学院 |
作者单位 | 1.College of Electrical and Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, China; 2.Key Laboratory of Gansu Advanced Control for Industrial Processes, Lanzhou 730050, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Xiaolan,Ge, Pengjiang. PV array output power forecasting based on similar day and RBFNN[J]. Dianli Zidonghua Shebei/Electric Power Automation Equipment,2013,33(1):100-103+109. |
APA | Wang, Xiaolan,&Ge, Pengjiang.(2013).PV array output power forecasting based on similar day and RBFNN.Dianli Zidonghua Shebei/Electric Power Automation Equipment,33(1),100-103+109. |
MLA | Wang, Xiaolan,et al."PV array output power forecasting based on similar day and RBFNN".Dianli Zidonghua Shebei/Electric Power Automation Equipment 33.1(2013):100-103+109. |
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