Modelling HFMD epidemic with periodic infection rate based on data analysis

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	Modelling HFMD epidemic with periodic infection rate based on data analysis
	Wang, Xun-Yang 1,2; Ma, Wei-jun 3; Ma, Shuang-hong 1,2; Huo, Hai-feng 1,2
	2015
关键词	Hand Foot and Mouth Disease Periodic infection rate The basic reproduction number Sensitivity analysis
页码	843-846
英文摘要	In this paper, we formulate a kind of SIS-type Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease(HFMD) model in a short time interval (no more than ten years), in which we sufficiently consider the characteristics of seasonal variation and use periodic infection rate beta(t) to describe it. Based on the available data of HFMD in china which is released monthly by Chinese Ministry of Health from 2009 to 2014(see the appendix), we fit out a rather reasonable period infection function between the susceptibles and the infectives. According to our model, we can predict and control the future development of HFMD in china.
会议录	2015 27TH CHINESE CONTROL AND DECISION CONFERENCE (CCDC)
会议录出版者	IEEE
会议录出版地	345 E 47TH ST, NEW YORK, NY 10017 USA
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Automation & Control Systems ; Engineering
WOS记录号	WOS:000375232902033
内容类型	会议论文
源URL	[http://119.78.100.223/handle/2XXMBERH/36457]
专题	理学院材料科学与工程学院电气工程与信息工程学院计算机与通信学院学科建设与学位办公室
通讯作者	Wang, Xun-Yang
作者单位	1.Lanzhou Univ Technol, Coll Elect & Informat Engn, Lanzhou 730050, Gansu;, Peoples R China 2.Lanzhou Univ Technol, Dept Appl Math, Lanzhou 730050, Gansu;, Peoples R China 3.Lanzhou Univ Technol, Coll Comp & Commun, Lanzhou 730050, Gansu;, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Xun-Yang,Ma, Wei-jun,Ma, Shuang-hong,et al. Modelling HFMD epidemic with periodic infection rate based on data analysis[C]. 见:.