A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process
Lei, Bingyin1; Gao, Kaiye1,4; Yang, Li3; Fang, Shu2,5
刊名MATHEMATICS
2022-02-01
卷号10期号:3页码:12
关键词healthcare mosquito control diseases dengue cost minimization interval
DOI10.3390/math10030440
英文摘要Mosquito control is very important, in particular, for tropical countries. The purpose of mosquito control is to decrease the number of mosquitos such that the mosquitos transmitted diseases can be reduced. However, mosquito control can be costly, thus there is a trade-off between the cost for mosquito control and the cost for mosquitos transmitted diseases. A model is proposed based on renewal theory in this paper to describe the process of mosquitos' growth, with consideration of the mosquitos transmitted diseases growth process and the corresponding diseases treatment cost. Through this model, the total mosquitos control cost of different strategies can be estimated. The optimal mosquito control strategy that minimizes the expected total cost is studied. A numerical example and corresponding sensitivity analyses are proposed to illustrate the applications.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[72001027] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72071005] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72101010] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72001078] ; Beijing Municipal Commission of Education[KM202111232007]
WOS研究方向Mathematics
语种英语
出版者MDPI
WOS记录号WOS:000760551700001
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/60023]  
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Gao, Kaiye
作者单位1.Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Emergency Management Bur, Beijing 101100, Peoples R China
3.Beihang Univ, Sch Reliabil & Syst Engn, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
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Lei, Bingyin,Gao, Kaiye,Yang, Li,et al. A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process[J]. MATHEMATICS,2022,10(3):12.
APA Lei, Bingyin,Gao, Kaiye,Yang, Li,&Fang, Shu.(2022).A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process.MATHEMATICS,10(3),12.
MLA Lei, Bingyin,et al."A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process".MATHEMATICS 10.3(2022):12.
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