Reducing the uncertainty of parameters controlling seasonal carbon and water fluxes in Chinese forests and its implication for simulated climate sensitivities

doi:10.1007/s10967-017-5414-8

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	Reducing the uncertainty of parameters controlling seasonal carbon and water fluxes in Chinese forests and its implication for simulated climate sensitivities
	Li, Yue ; Yang, Hui ; Wang, Tao 7,8; MacBean, Natasha 9; Bacour, Cedric 1,2; Ciais, Philippe 1; Zhang, Yiping 3; Zhou, Guangsheng 4,5; Piao, Shilong 7,8
刊名	GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
	2017
卷号	31 期号:8 页码:1344-1366
ISSN号	0886-6236
DOI	10.1007/s10967-017-5414-8
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	Reducing parameter uncertainty of process-based terrestrial ecosystem models (TEMs) is one of the primary targets for accurately estimating carbon budgets and predicting ecosystem responses to climate change. However, parameters in TEMs are rarely constrained by observations from Chinese forest ecosystems, which are important carbon sink over the northern hemispheric land. In this study, eddy covariance data from six forest sites in China are used to optimize parameters of the ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamics EcosystEms TEM. The model-data assimilation through parameter optimization largely reduces the prior model errors and improves the simulated seasonal cycle and summer diurnal cycle of net ecosystem exchange, latent heat fluxes, and gross primary production and ecosystem respiration. Climate change experiments based on the optimized model are deployed to indicate that forest net primary production (NPP) is suppressed in response to warming in the southern China but stimulated in the northeastern China. Altered precipitation has an asymmetric impact on forest NPP at sites in water-limited regions, with the optimization-induced reduction in response of NPP to precipitation decline being as large as 61% at a deciduous broadleaf forest site. We find that seasonal optimization alters forest carbon cycle responses to environmental change, with the parameter optimization consistently reducing the simulated positive response of heterotrophic respiration to warming. Evaluations from independent observations suggest that improving model structure still matters most for long-term carbon stock and its changes, in particular, nutrient-and age-related changes of photosynthetic rates, carbon allocation, and tree mortality.
学科主题	Chemistry ; Nuclear Science & Technology
电子版国际标准刊号	1944-9224
出版地	WASHINGTON
WOS关键词	NET ECOSYSTEM EXCHANGE ; LAND-SURFACE MODEL ; EDDY-COVARIANCE ; TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; ENVIRONMENTAL CONTROLS ; NONLINEAR INVERSION ; CYCLE FEEDBACK ; MONTE-CARLO ; VEGETATION
语种	英语
出版者	AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
WOS记录号	WOS:000412543600043
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [41530528, 41561134016] ; 111 ProjectMinistry of Education, China - 111 Project [B14001] ; National Youth Topnotch Talent Support Program in China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/22014]
专题	植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位	1.Univ Arizona, Sch Nat Resources & Environm, Tucson, AZ USA 2.UVSQ, CEA CNRS, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, Gif Sur Yvette, France 3.NOVELTIS, Labege, France 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Key Lab Trop Forest Ecol, Mengla, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Peking Univ, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Alpine Ecol & Biodivers, Beijing, Peoples R China 9.Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Yue,Yang, Hui,Wang, Tao,et al. Reducing the uncertainty of parameters controlling seasonal carbon and water fluxes in Chinese forests and its implication for simulated climate sensitivities[J]. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES,2017,31(8):1344-1366.
APA	Li, Yue.,Yang, Hui.,Wang, Tao.,MacBean, Natasha.,Bacour, Cedric.,...&Piao, Shilong.(2017).Reducing the uncertainty of parameters controlling seasonal carbon and water fluxes in Chinese forests and its implication for simulated climate sensitivities.GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES,31(8),1344-1366.
MLA	Li, Yue,et al."Reducing the uncertainty of parameters controlling seasonal carbon and water fluxes in Chinese forests and its implication for simulated climate sensitivities".GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES 31.8(2017):1344-1366.