Meteorological and hydrological droughts in Mekong River Basin and surrounding areas under climate change | |
Li, Yishan1; Lu, Hui1,2; Yang, Kun1,2; Wang, Wei3; Tang, Qiuhong4; Khem, Sothea5; Yang, Fan1; Huang, Yugang6 | |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES |
2021-08-01 | |
卷号 | 36页码:22 |
关键词 | Drought SPI SPEI SSI Mekong River Basin Climate change |
DOI | 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100873 |
通讯作者 | Lu, Hui(luhui@tsinghua.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Study Region Mekong River Basin and surrounding areas. Study Focus: This study investigated the impacts of climate change on future meteorological and hydrological droughts in the Mekong River Basin and its surrounding areas. Our work is based on the output of five global climate models (GCMs) and simulations using the geomorphology-based hydrological model (GBHM) for the historical (1975-2004), near future (2010-2039), middle future (2040-2069), and far future (2070-2099) periods. The meteorological droughts in the study area were measured using SPI and SPEI, while the hydrological droughts were measured using SSI. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: The results suggest that droughts will generally reduce in the future over most of the study area, but will be more unevenly distributed with an eastward migration as compared to the historical period. Both meteorological and hydrological droughts will intensify in the near future, but will then reduce in intensity. Meteorological droughts will increase in the northeastern areas in the near future, followed by migration towards the south. Hydrological droughts showed similar aggravation followed by reduction, with upstream areas showing greater variability. In the general context of drought alleviation, southwestern China and the Mekong River estuary may suffer from a continuously increasing drought intensity in the future. This finding is based on 100-year extreme drought events. |
资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFA0603703] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0206] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91747101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41801260] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20100300] |
WOS关键词 | STANDARDIZED STREAMFLOW INDEX ; FUTURE DROUGHT ; TEMPERATURE ; MODEL ; 20TH-CENTURY ; VARIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; MULTIMODEL ; INCREASE ; RUNOFF |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000687247500003 |
资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164994] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Lu, Hui |
作者单位 | 1.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Earth Syst Modeling, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 2.Minist Educ, Ecol Field Stn East Asian Migratory Birds, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 3.Changjiang Inst Survey Planning Design & Res, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 5.Mekong River Commiss Secretariat MRCS, Reg Flood & Drought Management Ctr RFDMC, Phnom Penh 12302, Cambodia 6.Minist Water Resources, Int Econ & Tech Cooperat & Exchange Ctr, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Yishan,Lu, Hui,Yang, Kun,et al. Meteorological and hydrological droughts in Mekong River Basin and surrounding areas under climate change[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,2021,36:22. |
APA | Li, Yishan.,Lu, Hui.,Yang, Kun.,Wang, Wei.,Tang, Qiuhong.,...&Huang, Yugang.(2021).Meteorological and hydrological droughts in Mekong River Basin and surrounding areas under climate change.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,36,22. |
MLA | Li, Yishan,et al."Meteorological and hydrological droughts in Mekong River Basin and surrounding areas under climate change".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 36(2021):22. |
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