A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation | |
Zhao, Guozhen1; Wu, Changxu1,2; Qiao, Chunming1 | |
刊名 | IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
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2013 | |
卷号 | 14期号:2页码:828-836 |
关键词 | In-vehicle intelligent system mathematical model speeding speeding prediction |
ISSN号 | 1524-9050 |
DOI | 10.1109/TITS.2013.2257757 |
英文摘要 | Speeding is one of the most prevalent contributing factors in traffic crashes. The prediction of speeding is important to reduce excessive speeds and prevent speeding-related traffic accidents and injuries. Speeding (either intentional or unintentional) is a consequence of inappropriate speed control. This paper extends a previous mathematical model of driver speed control to provide quantitative predictions of intentional and unintentional speeding. These predictions consist of the time at which the driver exceeds the speed limit and the magnitude of speeding. Based on these modeling predictions, this paper develops an intelligent speeding prediction system (ISPS) to prevent the occurrence of speeding. An experimental study using a driving simulator is conducted to evaluate the ISPS. We find no significant difference between modeled predictions and experimental results in terms of the time and magnitude of intentional speeding. In addition, the ISPS can successfully predict the majority of unintentional speeding instances, with only a small portion of unnecessary speeding warnings. Applications of the ISPS to reduce driving speed and prevent the real-time occurrence of speeding and speeding-related traffic accidents are discussed. |
语种 | 英语 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/32330] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院心理研究所 |
通讯作者 | Wu, Changxu |
作者单位 | 1.State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY 14214 USA 2.University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhao, Guozhen,Wu, Changxu,Qiao, Chunming. A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems,2013,14(2):828-836. |
APA | Zhao, Guozhen,Wu, Changxu,&Qiao, Chunming.(2013).A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation.IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems,14(2),828-836. |
MLA | Zhao, Guozhen,et al."A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation".IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 14.2(2013):828-836. |
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