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A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation
Zhao, Guozhen1; Wu, Changxu1,2; Qiao, Chunming1
刊名IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
2013
卷号14期号:2页码:828-836
关键词In-vehicle intelligent system mathematical model speeding speeding prediction
ISSN号1524-9050
DOI10.1109/TITS.2013.2257757
英文摘要

Speeding is one of the most prevalent contributing factors in traffic crashes. The prediction of speeding is important to reduce excessive speeds and prevent speeding-related traffic accidents and injuries. Speeding (either intentional or unintentional) is a consequence of inappropriate speed control. This paper extends a previous mathematical model of driver speed control to provide quantitative predictions of intentional and unintentional speeding. These predictions consist of the time at which the driver exceeds the speed limit and the magnitude of speeding. Based on these modeling predictions, this paper develops an intelligent speeding prediction system (ISPS) to prevent the occurrence of speeding. An experimental study using a driving simulator is conducted to evaluate the ISPS. We find no significant difference between modeled predictions and experimental results in terms of the time and magnitude of intentional speeding. In addition, the ISPS can successfully predict the majority of unintentional speeding instances, with only a small portion of unnecessary speeding warnings. Applications of the ISPS to reduce driving speed and prevent the real-time occurrence of speeding and speeding-related traffic accidents are discussed. 

语种英语
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/32330]  
专题中国科学院心理研究所
通讯作者Wu, Changxu
作者单位1.State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY 14214 USA
2.University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhao, Guozhen,Wu, Changxu,Qiao, Chunming. A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems,2013,14(2):828-836.
APA Zhao, Guozhen,Wu, Changxu,&Qiao, Chunming.(2013).A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation.IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems,14(2),828-836.
MLA Zhao, Guozhen,et al."A mathematical model for the prediction of speeding with its validation".IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 14.2(2013):828-836.
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