Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model

doi:10.1007/s11629-019-5491-y

CORC > 成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 > Journal of Mountain Science > Journal of Mountain Science-2020 > Vol17 No.2

	Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model
	Cheng, Lin-lin; Liu, Mei; Zhan, Jia-qi
刊名	JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
	2020
卷号	17 期号:2 页码:289-303
关键词	Land use change Mountainous districts Dinamica EGO model Scenarios simulation Mentougou district
ISSN号	1672-6316
DOI	10.1007/s11629-019-5491-y
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	Mountainous area makes up 22% of global land, and rational land use in this area is important for sustainable development. Mentougou district has been positioned as an ecological conservation development zone of Beijing and significant land use changes have taken place since 2004. With the combination of GIS and Dinamica EGO (Environment for Geoprocessing Objects) model, the quantitative structure and spatial distribution of land use in Mentougou from 2006 to 2014 are analyzed in this paper. Considering topography has influence on the action mode of driving factors, the research area is divided into two parts based on elevation, mountainous area above 300 m, plain and shallow mountainous area below 300 m. Based on cellular automata theory, the probability of land use change is calculated by Weights of Evidence method and the spatial distribution of land use is simulated by means of two complementary spatial transition functions: Expander and Patcher. Land use pattern of Menougou in 2030 for three kinds of scenarios: trend development, rapid development and ecological protection are simulated. The comparison shows that the trend development scenario is more reasonable based on social, economic and environmental considerations and other scenarios provide a reference for improving irrational land use.
电子版国际标准刊号	1993-0321
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000512107000003
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/46736]
专题	Journal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2020_Vol17 No.2
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cheng, Lin-lin,Liu, Mei,Zhan, Jia-qi. Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2020,17(2):289-303.
APA	Cheng, Lin-lin,Liu, Mei,&Zhan, Jia-qi.(2020).Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,17(2),289-303.
MLA	Cheng, Lin-lin,et al."Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 17.2(2020):289-303.