Random forest model based fine scale spatiotemporal O-3 trends in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China, 2010 to 2017
Ma, Runmei4; Ban, Jie4; Wang, Qing4; Zhang, Yayi2,4; Yang, Yang3; He, Mike Z.5; Li, Shenshen6; Shi, Wenjiao1; Li, Tiantian4
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION
2021-05-01
卷号276页码:9
关键词Ambient ozone Random forest model Simulation
ISSN号0269-7491
DOI10.1016/j.envpol.2021.116635
通讯作者Li, Tiantian(litiantian@nieh.chinacdc.cn)
英文摘要Ambient ozone (O-3) concentrations have shown an upward trend in China and its health hazards have also been recognized in recent years. High-resolution exposure data based on statistical models are needed. Our study aimed to build high-performance random forest (RF) models based on training data from 2013 to 2017 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region in China at a 0.01 degrees x 0.01 degrees resolution, and estimated daily maximum 8h average O-3 (O-3 -8hmax) concentration, daily average O-3 (O-3 -mean) concentration, and daily maximum 1 h O-3 (O-3-1hmax) concentration from 2010 to 2017. Model features included meteorological variables, chemical transport model output variables, geographic variables, and population data. The test-R-2 of sample-based O-3-8hmax, O-3-mean and O-3-1hmax models were all greater than 0.80, while the R-2 of site-based and date-based model were 0.68-0.87. From 2010 to 2017, O-3-8hmax, O-3-mean, and O-3-1hmax concentrations in the BTH region increased by 4.18 mu g/m(3), 0.11 mu g/m(3), and 4.71 mu g/m(3), especially in more developed regions. Due to the influence of weather conditions, which showed high contribution to the model, the long-term spatial distribution of O-3 concentrations indicated a similar pattern as altitude, where high concentration levels were distributed in regions with higher altitude. (C) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
资助项目National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC0211706] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[92043301] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701234]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号WOS:000630774100010
资助机构National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/162106]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Li, Tiantian
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Jiangsu Ocean Univ, Lianyungang 222000, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Urban Meteorol, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, China CDC Key Lab Environm & Populat Hlth, Natl Inst Environm Hlth, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
5.Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Dept Environm Med & Publ Hlth, New York, NY 10029 USA
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst AIR, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ma, Runmei,Ban, Jie,Wang, Qing,et al. Random forest model based fine scale spatiotemporal O-3 trends in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China, 2010 to 2017[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,2021,276:9.
APA Ma, Runmei.,Ban, Jie.,Wang, Qing.,Zhang, Yayi.,Yang, Yang.,...&Li, Tiantian.(2021).Random forest model based fine scale spatiotemporal O-3 trends in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China, 2010 to 2017.ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,276,9.
MLA Ma, Runmei,et al."Random forest model based fine scale spatiotemporal O-3 trends in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China, 2010 to 2017".ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION 276(2021):9.
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