Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China

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	Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China
	Deng Xiangzheng ; Jiang Qunou(姜群鸥) ; Zhan Jinyan ; He Shujin ; Lin Yingzhi
刊名	JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
	2010
卷号	20 期号:4 页码:495-509
关键词	forest area forestry production econometric model dynamics of land system Northeast China GROWTH DIVERSITY IMPACTS PROGRAM CARBON GREEN GRAIN
通讯作者	Deng, XZ
英文摘要	There is plenty of forests in Northeast China which contributes a lot to the conservation of water and land resources, produces timber products, and provides habitats for a huge number of wild animals and plants. With changes of socio-economic factors as well as the geophysical conditions, there are dramatic changes on the spatial patterns of forest area. In this sense, it is of great significance to shed light on the dynamics of forest area changes to find the underlining reasons for shaping the changing patterns of forest area in Northeast China. To explore the dynamics of forest area change in Northeast China, an econometric model is developed which is composed of three equations identifying forestry production, conversion from open forest to closed forest and conversion from other land uses to closed forest so as to explore the impacts on the forest area changes from demographic, social, economic, location and geophysical factors. On this basis, we employ the Dynamics of Land System (DLS) model to simulate land-use conversions between forest area and non-forest cover and the land-use conversions within the sub-classes of forest area for the period 2000-2020 under business as usual scenario, environmental protection scenario and economic growth scenario. The simulation results show that forest area will expand continuously and there exist various kinds of changing patterns for the sub-classes of forest area, for example, closed forest will expand continuously and open forest and shrub will decrease a little bit, while area of other forest will keep intact. The research results provide meaningful decision-making information for conserving and exploiting the forest resources and making out the planning for forestry production in the Northeast China region.
收录类别	SCI
资助信息	National Natural Science Foundation of China 70821140353 70873118;National Key Technology RD Program 2006BAC08B03 2006BAC08B06;CAS KZCX2-YW-326-1 KZCX2-YW-305-2 KSCX1-YW-09-04
语种	英语
公开日期	2012-05-30
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/21953]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Deng Xiangzheng,Jiang Qunou,Zhan Jinyan,et al. Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2010,20(4):495-509.
APA	Deng Xiangzheng,Jiang Qunou,Zhan Jinyan,He Shujin,&Lin Yingzhi.(2010).Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,20(4),495-509.
MLA	Deng Xiangzheng,et al."Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 20.4(2010):495-509.