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	Surface modeling of human carrying capacity of terrestrial ecosystems in China
	Yue T. X. ; Tian Y. Z. ; Liu J. Y. ; Fan Z. M.
	2008
关键词	human carrying capacity terrestrial ecosystems food provision ecological threshold surface modeling ecological thresholds human-population irreversible-processes extinction thresholds reciprocal relations food-production climate-change land-use scenarios simulation
英文摘要	Surface models are developed for simulating the food provision capacities of cropland, grassland, woodland, and aquatic ecosystems. Based on these models, it appears that China's current agricultural structure is responsible for the shortage of food. if the agricultural production structure was improved so as to result in balanced nutritional value, the human carrying capacity would be 2029, 1914, and 1794 million individuals, living under the standards of the primary well-to-do life, full well-to-do life, and well-off life, respectively, taking into account the threshold of the human carrying capacity and an 11% production drop caused by natural disasters. If 57 billion m(3) of water were transferred from southern to northern China by a south-to-north water diversion project and 17.3 billion m(3) of water were diverted into agriculture, the human carrying capacity would be 2058, 1940, and 1817 million individuals, respectively, under the three living standards. (c) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
出处	Ecological Modelling
卷	214
期	2-4
页	168-180
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
ISSN号	0304-3800
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/22464]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yue T. X.,Tian Y. Z.,Liu J. Y.,et al. Surface modeling of human carrying capacity of terrestrial ecosystems in China. 2008.

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