Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change | |
Yang, Shili1,2; Dong, Wenjie3; Chou, Jieming4; Dai, Tanlong4; Hong, Tao5; Xiao, Cunde4; Wei, Ting6; Tian, Di7; Ji, Dong8 | |
刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
2019-06-15 | |
卷号 | 39期号:7页码:3231-3240 |
关键词 | climate change climate policy earth system model the cryosphere |
ISSN号 | 0899-8418 |
DOI | 10.1002/joc.6014 |
英文摘要 | Anthropogenically induced climate warming will not stop as long as carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions continue to increase. As positive feedback from the cryosphere can amplify climate warming in higher latitudes, adaptation to and mitigation of climate change in the cryosphere have become particularly important. In this study, we quantified the contributions of climate policies of the developed and developing worlds to moderating decreases in Northern Hemisphere sea ice and snow, using the Earth System Model of Beijing Normal University (BNU-ESM). The results indicate that the sea ice extent and snow cover would continue to shrink as CO2 concentrations continue to increase, and the combined efforts of the developed and developing worlds could successfully reduce losses of Arctic sea ice and snow. In the medium term (before 2060), contributions of the developing world to reducing the loss of Arctic sea ice extent are expected to be 65% in JFM and 60% in JAS, while the corresponding contributions to reducing snow cover loss are 46 and 70%. These contributions from the developed world are smaller: 44% in JFM and 22% in JAS for sea ice extent and 34% in JFM and 20% in JAS for snow cover. Over the long term (until 2100), the developing world is expected to contribute 71% in JFM and 77% in JAS to reducing the Arctic sea ice losses, and its contribution to reducing snow cover loss is 73 and 66%. Similarly, the corresponding contribution for the developed world is also smaller: 36% in JFM and 24% in JAS for sea ice extent and 32% in JFM and 30% in JAS for snow cover. However, the developed and developing world achieves a combined mitigation effect of more than 90% in the near and long term. |
资助项目 | State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science[SKLCS-OP-2016-09] |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | WILEY |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000475693500009 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.fio.com.cn:8080/handle/2SI8HI0U/27618] |
专题 | 自然资源部第一海洋研究所 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Shili; Dong, Wenjie |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Meteorol Bur, Beijing Meteorol Observat Ctr, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China 2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Urban Meteorol, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Atmospher Sci Sch, Guangzhou 510000, Guangdong, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Civil Aviat Flight Univ China, Coll Air Traff Management, Guanghan, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, China Meteorol Adm, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Minist Nat Resources, Inst Oceanog 2, State Key Lab Satellite Ocean Environm Dynam, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China 8.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Shili,Dong, Wenjie,Chou, Jieming,et al. Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019,39(7):3231-3240. |
APA | Yang, Shili.,Dong, Wenjie.,Chou, Jieming.,Dai, Tanlong.,Hong, Tao.,...&Ji, Dong.(2019).Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,39(7),3231-3240. |
MLA | Yang, Shili,et al."Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 39.7(2019):3231-3240. |
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