Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change
Yang, Shili1,2; Dong, Wenjie3; Chou, Jieming4; Dai, Tanlong4; Hong, Tao5; Xiao, Cunde4; Wei, Ting6; Tian, Di7; Ji, Dong8
刊名INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
2019-06-15
卷号39期号:7页码:3231-3240
关键词climate change climate policy earth system model the cryosphere
ISSN号0899-8418
DOI10.1002/joc.6014
英文摘要

Anthropogenically induced climate warming will not stop as long as carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions continue to increase. As positive feedback from the cryosphere can amplify climate warming in higher latitudes, adaptation to and mitigation of climate change in the cryosphere have become particularly important. In this study, we quantified the contributions of climate policies of the developed and developing worlds to moderating decreases in Northern Hemisphere sea ice and snow, using the Earth System Model of Beijing Normal University (BNU-ESM). The results indicate that the sea ice extent and snow cover would continue to shrink as CO2 concentrations continue to increase, and the combined efforts of the developed and developing worlds could successfully reduce losses of Arctic sea ice and snow. In the medium term (before 2060), contributions of the developing world to reducing the loss of Arctic sea ice extent are expected to be 65% in JFM and 60% in JAS, while the corresponding contributions to reducing snow cover loss are 46 and 70%. These contributions from the developed world are smaller: 44% in JFM and 22% in JAS for sea ice extent and 34% in JFM and 20% in JAS for snow cover. Over the long term (until 2100), the developing world is expected to contribute 71% in JFM and 77% in JAS to reducing the Arctic sea ice losses, and its contribution to reducing snow cover loss is 73 and 66%. Similarly, the corresponding contribution for the developed world is also smaller: 36% in JFM and 24% in JAS for sea ice extent and 32% in JFM and 30% in JAS for snow cover. However, the developed and developing world achieves a combined mitigation effect of more than 90% in the near and long term.

资助项目State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science[SKLCS-OP-2016-09]
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
出版者WILEY
WOS记录号WOS:000475693500009
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.fio.com.cn:8080/handle/2SI8HI0U/27618]  
专题自然资源部第一海洋研究所
通讯作者Yang, Shili; Dong, Wenjie
作者单位1.Beijing Meteorol Bur, Beijing Meteorol Observat Ctr, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China
2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Urban Meteorol, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Atmospher Sci Sch, Guangzhou 510000, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Civil Aviat Flight Univ China, Coll Air Traff Management, Guanghan, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, China Meteorol Adm, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Minist Nat Resources, Inst Oceanog 2, State Key Lab Satellite Ocean Environm Dynam, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
8.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yang, Shili,Dong, Wenjie,Chou, Jieming,et al. Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019,39(7):3231-3240.
APA Yang, Shili.,Dong, Wenjie.,Chou, Jieming.,Dai, Tanlong.,Hong, Tao.,...&Ji, Dong.(2019).Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,39(7),3231-3240.
MLA Yang, Shili,et al."Quantifying the developed and developing worlds' carbon reduction contributions to Northern Hemisphere cryosphere change".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 39.7(2019):3231-3240.
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