A nowcasting model for the prediction of typhoon tracks based on a long short term memory neural network

doi:10.1007/s13131-018-1219-z

	A nowcasting model for the prediction of typhoon tracks based on a long short term memory neural network
	Gao Song 1,2; Zhao Peng 1,2; Pan Bin 3; Li Yaru 1,2; Zhou Min 3; Xu Jiangling 1,2; Zhong Shan 1,2; Shi Zhenwei 3
刊名	ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA
	2018-05
卷号	37 期号:5 页码:8-12
关键词	typhoon tracks machine learning LSTM big data
ISSN号	0253-505X
DOI	10.1007/s13131-018-1219-z
英文摘要	It is of vital importance to reduce injuries and economic losses by accurate forecasts of typhoon tracks. A huge amount of typhoon observations have been accumulated by the meteorological department, however, they are yet to be adequately utilized. It is an effective method to employ machine learning to perform forecasts. A long short term memory (LSTM) neural network is trained based on the typhoon observations during 1949-2011 in China's Mainland, combined with big data and data mining technologies, and a forecast model based on machine learning for the prediction of typhoon tracks is developed. The results show that the employed algorithm produces desirable 6-24 h nowcasting of typhoon tracks with an improved precision.
资助项目	Ocean Science and Technology Program of North China Sea Branch of State Oceanic Administration[2017A01]
WOS研究方向	Oceanography
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER
WOS记录号	WOS:000431898900002
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.fio.com.cn:8080/handle/2SI8HI0U/25215]
专题	自然资源部第一海洋研究所
通讯作者	Li Yaru
作者单位	1.State Ocean Adm, North China Sea Marine Forecasting Ctr, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China 2.Shandong Prov Key Lab Marine Ecol Environm & Disa, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China 3.Beihang Univ, Sch Astronaut, Image Proc Ctr, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gao Song,Zhao Peng,Pan Bin,et al. A nowcasting model for the prediction of typhoon tracks based on a long short term memory neural network[J]. ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA,2018,37(5):8-12.
APA	Gao Song.,Zhao Peng.,Pan Bin.,Li Yaru.,Zhou Min.,...&Shi Zhenwei.(2018).A nowcasting model for the prediction of typhoon tracks based on a long short term memory neural network.ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA,37(5),8-12.
MLA	Gao Song,et al."A nowcasting model for the prediction of typhoon tracks based on a long short term memory neural network".ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA 37.5(2018):8-12.