Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location | |
Li, Tim1; Kwon, Minho1,3; Zhao, Ming3; Kug, Jong-Seong2; Luo, Jing-Jia4; Yu, Weidong5 | |
刊名 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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2010-11-03 | |
卷号 | 37期号:21 |
ISSN号 | 0094-8276 |
DOI | 10.1029/2010GL045124 |
英文摘要 | A global high-resolution (similar to 40 km) atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM5 T319) is used to investigate the change of tropical cyclone frequency in the North Pacific under global warming. A time slice method is used in which sea surface temperature fields derived from a lower-resolution coupled model run under the 20C3M (in which historical greenhouse gases in 20th century were prescribed as a radiative forcing) and A1B (in which carbon dioxide concentration was increased 1% each year from 2000 to 2070 and then was kept constant) scenarios are specified as the lower boundary conditions to simulate the current and the future warming climate, respectively. A significant shift is found in the location of tropical cyclones from the western to central Pacific. The shift to more tropical cyclones in the central and less in the western Pacific is not attributable to a change in atmospheric static stability, but to a change in the variance of tropical synoptic-scale perturbations associated with a change in the background vertical wind shear and boundary layer divergence. Citation: Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu (2010), Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi:10.1029/2010GL045124. |
资助项目 | KORDI[PE98537] |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000283941700013 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.fio.com.cn/handle/2SI8HI0U/4282] ![]() |
专题 | 自然资源部第一海洋研究所 |
作者单位 | 1.International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 1680 East-West Rd., Honolulu, HI 96822, United States; 2.Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, 1270 Sa-dong Sangnok-gu, Ansan, Gyeonggi 426-744, Korea, Republic of; 3.GFDL, NOAA, PO Box 308, Princeton, NJ 08542, United States; 4.Research Institute for Climate Change, JAMSTEC, 3173-25 Showa-machi, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 236-0001, Japan; 5.First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, 6, Road Xian-Xia-Ling, Qingdao, Shandong 266061, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Tim,Kwon, Minho,Zhao, Ming,et al. Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2010,37(21). |
APA | Li, Tim,Kwon, Minho,Zhao, Ming,Kug, Jong-Seong,Luo, Jing-Jia,&Yu, Weidong.(2010).Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,37(21). |
MLA | Li, Tim,et al."Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 37.21(2010). |
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