Forecasting return of used products for remanufacturing using Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT)

doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2016.04.016

CORC > 上海财经大学 > 上海财经大学

	Forecasting return of used products for remanufacturing using Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT)
	Zhou, Li 1; Xie, Jiaping 2; Gu, Xiaoyu 1; Lin, Yong 1; Ieromonachou, Petros 1; Zhang, Xiaole 1
刊名	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS
	2016-11
卷号	181 页码:315-324
关键词	Return forecasting GERT Product return Remanufacturing Moment-Generating Function Transfer function
ISSN号	0925-5273
DOI	10.1016/j.ijpe.2016.04.016
英文摘要	This research develops a forecasting model that can predict the quantity, time and probability of product return, recyclable parts/components/materials and disposal. It adopts the Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT) by translating the remanufacturing operational process into a stochastic network. This stochastic network possesses two characteristics: activities having a probability of occurrence associated with them; and time to perform an activity. Together with the GERT method, Mason's rule is applied to calculate the equivalence transfer function of the system, therefore predicting the desired outcomes. A generic eight-step process on how to implement this method in any structure of return products and remanufacturing network is provided. A numerical example is presented to demonstrate the result of using GERT on forecasting printer remanufacturing outcomes. The main contribution of this research is: Instead of giving one result such as either return quantity, or time, or probability, our research can forecast three of these outcomes simultaneously, and the algorithm is generalised to be applicable to any product structure and remanufacturing network. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
WOS记录号	WOS:000389091200006
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://10.2.47.112/handle/2XS4QKH4/1178]
专题	上海财经大学
通讯作者	Zhou, Li
作者单位	1.Univ Greenwich, Fac Business, London SE10 9LS, England; 2.Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Int Business Adm, Shanghai, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhou, Li,Xie, Jiaping,Gu, Xiaoyu,et al. Forecasting return of used products for remanufacturing using Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT)[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS,2016,181:315-324.
APA	Zhou, Li,Xie, Jiaping,Gu, Xiaoyu,Lin, Yong,Ieromonachou, Petros,&Zhang, Xiaole.(2016).Forecasting return of used products for remanufacturing using Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT).INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS,181,315-324.
MLA	Zhou, Li,et al."Forecasting return of used products for remanufacturing using Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT)".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS 181(2016):315-324.