Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development | |
Hasan, Shaikh Shamim1,2,3,4; Deng, Xiangzheng1,3; Li, Zhihui1,2,3; Chen, Dongdong5 | |
刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY |
2017-04-01 | |
卷号 | 9期号:4页码:21 |
关键词 | land use change projection ecological protection economic development dynamics of land system (DLS) model Bangladesh |
ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
DOI | 10.3390/su9040505 |
通讯作者 | Deng, Xiangzheng(dengxz.ccap@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Land is one of the important input resources in a highly populous and land-scarce country such as Bangladesh. When different factors change (such as, geophysical, proximity, socioeconomic and climatic), there are dramatic changes in the spatial pattern of land uses. Thus, shedding light on the dynamics of land use and land cover changes has great importance for finding the changing pattern of land use in Bangladesh. In the present study, we predicted the land use and land cover changes from 2010 to 2030 under baseline, ecological protection priority and economic growth scenarios in Bangladesh. On this basis, we applied a previously developed Dynamics of Land Systems (DLS) model to simulate the changes in land uses according to the driving mechanisms. The findings indicate that cultivated land declines and built-up area expansion is common under all three scenarios. However, the future land use demand shows differences under different scenarios. The results under the ecological protection priority scenario shows that forest area and grassland will increase more, while under economic growth scenario, built-up area will expand dramatically in the future. The present research results furnish meaningful decision-making information for planners to conserve and/or exploit land resources in Bangladesh in a more sustainable manner. |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Funds of China[71225005] ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences[KFJ-EW-STS-058] |
WOS关键词 | SCENARIO SIMULATION ; USE/COVER CHANGE ; NORTHEAST CHINA ; WEIGHTED KAPPA ; CHANGE MODELS ; UPPER REACHES ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; COVER CHANGE ; RELIABILITY ; AGREEMENT |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | MDPI AG |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402090300028 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Funds of China ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/63515] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Deng, Xiangzheng |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agr Univ, Dept Agr Extens & Rural Dev, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh 5.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Hubei, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,et al. Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(4):21. |
APA | Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,&Chen, Dongdong.(2017).Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development.SUSTAINABILITY,9(4),21. |
MLA | Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,et al."Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development".SUSTAINABILITY 9.4(2017):21. |
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