Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction | |
Li, C; OuYang, SC; Tang, MC | |
刊名 | KYBERNETES
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1998 | |
卷号 | 27期号:6-7页码:773-787 |
关键词 | blown-up currents earthquake earthquake prediction temperature |
ISSN号 | 0368-492X |
通讯作者 | Li, C() |
英文摘要 | Based on the theory of blown-ups, as described by OuYang in 1995 and 1994, for nonlinear dynamic systems on general pansystems transformation, optimization and panderivatives, etc., in this paper, we employ the method, developed in OuYang (1994) to show that the blown-ups of the nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observable ground temperature "currents". According to this analysis, we conduct a simulation based on the historical data of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976. The simulation results show that: the blown-ups of the ground temperature "currents" around the earthquake area can be applied to predict forthcoming earthquakes. As for the most disastrous Tang Shan Earthquake, the prediction time is about five months in advance. If the ground temperature "current" that embodies the earth's crust movement satisfies the unintegrable panderivative equation, we can with enough information demonstrate blown-up mechanism and forecast relevant earthquakes. |
收录类别 | SCI |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science |
WOS类目 | Computer Science, Cybernetics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | MCB UNIV PRESS LTD |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000076791600016 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
URI标识 | http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2556633 |
专题 | 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所 |
通讯作者 | Li, C |
作者单位 | 1.Chengdu Inst Meteorol, Chengdu, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Lanzhou Inst Plateau Atmospher Phys, Lanzhou, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, C,OuYang, SC,Tang, MC. Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction[J]. KYBERNETES,1998,27(6-7):773-787. |
APA | Li, C,OuYang, SC,&Tang, MC.(1998).Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction.KYBERNETES,27(6-7),773-787. |
MLA | Li, C,et al."Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction".KYBERNETES 27.6-7(1998):773-787. |
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