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	Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction
	Li, C; OuYang, SC; Tang, MC
刊名	KYBERNETES
	1998
卷号	27期号:6-7页码:773-787
关键词	blown-up currents earthquake earthquake prediction temperature
ISSN号	0368-492X
通讯作者	Li, C()
英文摘要	Based on the theory of blown-ups, as described by OuYang in 1995 and 1994, for nonlinear dynamic systems on general pansystems transformation, optimization and panderivatives, etc., in this paper, we employ the method, developed in OuYang (1994) to show that the blown-ups of the nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observable ground temperature "currents". According to this analysis, we conduct a simulation based on the historical data of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976. The simulation results show that: the blown-ups of the ground temperature "currents" around the earthquake area can be applied to predict forthcoming earthquakes. As for the most disastrous Tang Shan Earthquake, the prediction time is about five months in advance. If the ground temperature "current" that embodies the earth's crust movement satisfies the unintegrable panderivative equation, we can with enough information demonstrate blown-up mechanism and forecast relevant earthquakes.
收录类别	SCI
WOS研究方向	Computer Science
WOS类目	Computer Science, Cybernetics
语种	英语
出版者	MCB UNIV PRESS LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000076791600016
内容类型	期刊论文
URI标识	http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2556633
专题	寒区旱区环境与工程研究所
通讯作者	Li, C
作者单位	1.Chengdu Inst Meteorol, Chengdu, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Lanzhou Inst Plateau Atmospher Phys, Lanzhou, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, C,OuYang, SC,Tang, MC. Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction[J]. KYBERNETES,1998,27(6-7):773-787.
APA	Li, C,OuYang, SC,&Tang, MC.(1998).Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction.KYBERNETES,27(6-7),773-787.
MLA	Li, C,et al."Ground temperature "currents" and earthquake prediction".KYBERNETES 27.6-7(1998):773-787.

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