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Application of the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system for combination forecasting of river flow in semiarid mountain regions
Zhang, Lijie; Zhao, Wenzhi1; He, Zhibin; Liu, Hu
刊名HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
2009-05-15
卷号23期号:10页码:1430-1436
关键词Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system combining forecasts rainfall-runoff modelling semiarid mountain area
ISSN号0885-6087
DOI10.1002/hyp.7265
通讯作者Zhao, Wenzhi(zhaowzh@lzb.ac.cn)
英文摘要Because of high spatial heterogeneity and the degree of uncertainty about hydrological processes in large-scale catchments of semiarid mountain areas, satisfactory forecasting of daily discharge is seldom available using a single model in many practical cases. In this paper the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system (TS) and the simple average method (SAM) are applied to combine forecasts of three individual models, namely, the simple linear model (SLM), the seasonally based linear perturbation model (LPM) and the nearest neighbour linear perturbation model (NNLPM) for modelling daily discharge, and the performance of modelling results is compared in five catchments of semiarid areas. It is found that the TS combination model gives good predictions. The results confirm that better prediction accuracy can be obtained by combining the forecasts of different models with the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system in semi-arid mountain areas. Copyright (C) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
收录类别SCI
WOS关键词RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS
WOS研究方向Water Resources
WOS类目Water Resources
语种英语
出版者JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD
WOS记录号WOS:000266193200004
内容类型期刊论文
URI标识http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2556218
专题寒区旱区环境与工程研究所
通讯作者Zhao, Wenzhi
作者单位1.Chinese Ecosyst Res Network, Linze Inland River Basin Res Stn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Lab Watershed Hydrol & Ecol, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Lijie,Zhao, Wenzhi,He, Zhibin,et al. Application of the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system for combination forecasting of river flow in semiarid mountain regions[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2009,23(10):1430-1436.
APA Zhang, Lijie,Zhao, Wenzhi,He, Zhibin,&Liu, Hu.(2009).Application of the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system for combination forecasting of river flow in semiarid mountain regions.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,23(10),1430-1436.
MLA Zhang, Lijie,et al."Application of the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system for combination forecasting of river flow in semiarid mountain regions".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 23.10(2009):1430-1436.
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