Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years

doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2017.08.033

	Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years
	Zheng, Jingyun 1,2; Liu, Yang 1,2; Hao, Zhixin 1,2; Zhang, Xuezhen 1,2; Ma, Xiang 1; Liu, Haolong 1; Ge, Quansheng 1,2
刊名	QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL
	2018-06-20
卷号	479 页码:42-47
关键词	Historical documents Phenological cold/warm events Temperature reconstruction Southern China Past 500 years
ISSN号	1040-6182
DOI	10.1016/j.quaint.2017.08.033
通讯作者	Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	We reconstructed a 500-year long winter (November to February) temperature series with a yearly resolution in southern China. The series is based on six types of proxies extracted from historical documents, including the southern limits of frost disaster, freezing disaster and snow, along with snowfall days and the first/last frost disaster dates. In the reconstruction, linear regression models are established among each proxy and regional winter temperature. Variance matching, minimum selection, and envelope analysis methods are performed to eliminate non -homogeneous effects because of different proxy types, missing data, and the changing amount of records. Compared with the average temperatures during 1851-1950, the reconstruction shows that southern China experienced a cold period in the first 40 years of the sixteenth century with an average of -0.40 degrees C with frequent extremes. An upturning occurred during the 1540s to mid-1560s, followed by a stable phase until the 1620s. Then the temperature started to fall from the 1630s and reached its lowest in 1660, where it dropped to -2.01 degrees C. Moreover, the mean value was 0.49 degrees C between the years 1648-1697, which was the coldest 50 years over the last five centuries. The temperatures during the eighteenth century to the middle of the twentieth century was characterized by annual to decadal fluctuations, with two moderately warm intervals in the 1770s and 1840s -1850s, as well as three moderately cold intervals in 1790s, 1830s, and 1870s to the mid-1890s. Over the recent century, the warming rate since 1901 was 0.56 degrees C/100a, whereas the temperature reached 0.32 degrees C/10a after 1979. The hottest five years during the last five centuries all occurred after 1990. (C) 2017 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
资助项目	National Key R&D Program of China on Global change[2017YFA0603300] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41430528] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671036] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671201]
WOS关键词	MEAN TEMPERATURE ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; NORTH CHINA ; CLIMATE ; AD ; VARIABILITY ; LINKAGES ; RIVER
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography ; Geology
语种	英语
出版者	PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000433225600007
资助机构	National Key R&D Program of China on Global change ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54896]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Ge, Quansheng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zheng, Jingyun,Liu, Yang,Hao, Zhixin,et al. Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years[J]. QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL,2018,479:42-47.
APA	Zheng, Jingyun.,Liu, Yang.,Hao, Zhixin.,Zhang, Xuezhen.,Ma, Xiang.,...&Ge, Quansheng.(2018).Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years.QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL,479,42-47.
MLA	Zheng, Jingyun,et al."Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years".QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL 479(2018):42-47.