The structure and evolution of trade relations between countries along the Belt and Road

doi:10.1007/s11442-018-1522-9

	The structure and evolution of trade relations between countries along the Belt and Road
	Liu Zhigao 1,2; Wang Tao 1,2; Sonn, Jung Won 3; Chen Wei 1,2
刊名	JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
	2018-09-01
卷号	28 期号:9 页码:1233-1248
关键词	The Belt and Road Initiative international trade community core detection top trade partner
ISSN号	1009-637X
DOI	10.1007/s11442-018-1522-9
通讯作者	Chen Wei(geochw@163.com)
英文摘要	Trade facilitation is one of the five main agendas of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Social network analysis has helped understand the complexity of trade networks, but existing studies tend to overlook the fact that not all bilateral trade relations are equally important to a country. To fill this gap in the literature, this paper focuses on the top 2 trade relations networks to illuminate the structure and evolution of B&R trade relations, the relative positions of different countries, and changes in the composition of trade communities (e.g., the community leaders) and the changing patterns of trade between them. We find rich dynamics over time both inter- and intra-communities. The overall international trade networks of B&R countries experienced a leadership change from Russia to China on one hand, some temporary communities experienced emergence, disappearance (e.g. the Kuwait- and Thailand-led communities) or reemergence (e.g. Poland-led community), and a community membership was generally consistent on the other hand. Since the future impacts of China's BRI will depend on the degree of integration of the connected regions, some countries with stable and high centrality indices (e.g. Russia, Singapore, Serbia, Greece, Turkey, Iran, Poland, Hungary and Romania) could be selected by China as strategic regional partners, and countries with a strategically important geographical position but weak trade links (e.g. Myanmar, Pakistan, and Belarus) should be prioritized.
资助项目	National Social Science Foundation of China[17VDL008] ; Project of Bureau of International Cooperation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[131A11KYSB20170014] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530751] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41471113] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701125] ; Ministry of Education of the Republic of Korea ; National Research Foundation of Korea[NRF-2015S1A3A2047036]
WOS关键词	INTERNATIONAL-TRADE ; NETWORK ANALYSIS
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography
语种	英语
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号	WOS:000440139100003
资助机构	National Social Science Foundation of China ; Project of Bureau of International Cooperation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Ministry of Education of the Republic of Korea ; National Research Foundation of Korea
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54459]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Chen Wei
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.UCL, Bartlett Sch Planning, London WC1N 3PR, England
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu Zhigao,Wang Tao,Sonn, Jung Won,et al. The structure and evolution of trade relations between countries along the Belt and Road[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2018,28(9):1233-1248.
APA	Liu Zhigao,Wang Tao,Sonn, Jung Won,&Chen Wei.(2018).The structure and evolution of trade relations between countries along the Belt and Road.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,28(9),1233-1248.
MLA	Liu Zhigao,et al."The structure and evolution of trade relations between countries along the Belt and Road".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 28.9(2018):1233-1248.