| Ensemble projection of 1-3a degrees c warming in china | |
| Jiang DaBang1,2,3; Zhang Ying1,4; Sun JianQi1,3 | |
| 刊名 | Chinese science bulletin
 |
| 2009-09-01 | |
| 卷号 | 54期号:18页码:3326-3334 |
| 关键词 | Surface temperature Warming Climate model Projection |
| ISSN号 | 1001-6538 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11434-009-0313-1 |
| 通讯作者 | Jiang dabang(jiangdb@mail.iap.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Studies on the influences of climate change on biogeochemical cycles and on the key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change suggest that annual surface temperature rise of 1a degrees c, 2a degrees c and 3a degrees c above the present level would lead to changes in extreme weather and climate events, food production, fresh water resources, biodiversity, human mortality, etc. here two sets of simulations as performed with seventeen atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (aogcms) for the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (ipcc ar4), i.e. the model outputs from the 20th century climate in coupled models (20c3m) and from the special report on emissions scenarios (sres) emission scenarios b1, a1b and a2, are used to analyze spatial and temporal characteristics of the above values in china over the 21st century. the results indicate that the rate of warming varies from region to region. the above values are reached much later (earlier) when emission amount is lower (higher), and spread of the time when the lower (higher) value is exceeded is narrower (wider) among the three scenarios. as far as the spatial pattern is concerned, the above values are crossed much earlier in northern china and the tibetan plateau with respect to the yangtze-huaihe river valley and south china. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; B2 SCENARIOS ; EAST-ASIA ; SIMULATION ; MODEL ; 20TH-CENTURY ; A2 |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000269896500030 |
| 内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
| URI标识 | http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2402962 |
| 专题 | 中国科学院大学 |
| 通讯作者 | Jiang DaBang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Nansen Zhu Int Res Ctr, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.Max Planck Inst Biogeochem, D-07745 Jena, Germany 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jiang DaBang,Zhang Ying,Sun JianQi. Ensemble projection of 1-3a degrees c warming in china[J]. Chinese science bulletin,2009,54(18):3326-3334. |
| APA | Jiang DaBang,Zhang Ying,&Sun JianQi.(2009).Ensemble projection of 1-3a degrees c warming in china.Chinese science bulletin,54(18),3326-3334. |
| MLA | Jiang DaBang,et al."Ensemble projection of 1-3a degrees c warming in china".Chinese science bulletin 54.18(2009):3326-3334. |
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