A Monte Carlo approach to estimate the uncertainty in soil CO2 emissions caused by spatial and sample size variability
Du, Sheng3; Ma, Ming-Guo1; Song, Yi4; Su, Li-Jun2; Shi, Wei-Yu3,4
刊名ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
2015-10-01
卷号5期号:19页码:4480-4491
关键词Maize Monte Carlo Approach Oasis Soil Respiration Uncertainty
ISSN号2045-7758
DOI10.1002/ece3.1729
文献子类Article
英文摘要

The soil CO2 emission is recognized as one of the largest fluxes in the global carbon cycle. Small errors in its estimation can result in large uncertainties and have important consequences for climate model predictions. Monte Carlo approach is efficient for estimating and reducing spatial scale sampling errors. However, that has not been used in soil CO2 emission studies. Here, soil respiration data from 51 PVC collars were measured within farmland cultivated by maize covering 25km(2) during the growing season. Based on Monte Carlo approach, optimal sample sizes of soil temperature, soil moisture, and soil CO2 emission were determined. And models of soil respiration can be effectively assessed: Soil temperature model is the most effective model to increasing accuracy among three models. The study demonstrated that Monte Carlo approach may improve soil respiration accuracy with limited sample size. That will be valuable for reducing uncertainties of global carbon cycle.

WOS关键词Semiarid Loess Plateau ; Terrestrial Ecosystems ; Climate-change ; Respiration ; Temperature ; Efflux ; China ; Flux ; Transpiration ; Dependence
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者WILEY-BLACKWELL
WOS记录号WOS:000362523300022
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/9239]  
专题地球环境研究所_生态环境研究室
通讯作者Shi, Wei-Yu
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
2.Xian Univ Technol, Sch Sci, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
3.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Xian 710061, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Du, Sheng,Ma, Ming-Guo,Song, Yi,et al. A Monte Carlo approach to estimate the uncertainty in soil CO2 emissions caused by spatial and sample size variability[J]. ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2015,5(19):4480-4491.
APA Du, Sheng,Ma, Ming-Guo,Song, Yi,Su, Li-Jun,&Shi, Wei-Yu.(2015).A Monte Carlo approach to estimate the uncertainty in soil CO2 emissions caused by spatial and sample size variability.ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,5(19),4480-4491.
MLA Du, Sheng,et al."A Monte Carlo approach to estimate the uncertainty in soil CO2 emissions caused by spatial and sample size variability".ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 5.19(2015):4480-4491.
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