Predicting the Trends of Social Events on Chinese Social Media

doi:10.1089/cyber.2017.0142

	Predicting the Trends of Social Events on Chinese Social Media
	Zhou, Yang 1,2; Zhang, Lei 3; Liu, Xiaoqian1 ; Zhang, Zhen1 ; Bai, Shuotian 4; Zhu, Tingshao1 ; Zhu, TS
刊名	CYBERPSYCHOLOGY BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL NETWORKING
	2017-09-01
卷号	20 期号:9 页码:533-539
关键词	social events social media trend prediction
ISSN号	2152-2715
DOI	10.1089/cyber.2017.0142
产权排序	1
文献子类	Review
英文摘要	Growing interest in social events on social media came along with the rapid development of the Internet. Social events that occur in the "real" world can spread on social media (e.g., Sina Weibo) rapidly, which may trigger severe consequences and thus require the government's timely attention and responses. This article proposes to predict the trends of social events on Sina Weibo, which is currently the most popular social media in China. Based on the theories of social psychology and communication sciences, we extract an unprecedented amount of comprehensive and effective features that relate to the trends of social events on Chinese social media, and we construct the trends of prediction models by using three classical regression algorithms. We found that lasso regression performed better with the precision 0.78 and the recall 0.88. The results of our experiments demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed approach.
URL标识	查看原文
WOS关键词	COLLECTIVE ACTION ; IDENTIFICATION ; ENGAGE
WOS研究方向	Psychology
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000417398700003
资助机构	Pioneer Initiative of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Feature Institutes Program(TSS-2015-06) ; Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province(2016CFB208)
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/25735]
专题	心理研究所_社会与工程心理学研究室
通讯作者	Zhu, TS
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Psychol, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Dept Psychol, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA USA 4.Hubei Univ Econ, Sch Informat Engn, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhou, Yang,Zhang, Lei,Liu, Xiaoqian,et al. Predicting the Trends of Social Events on Chinese Social Media[J]. CYBERPSYCHOLOGY BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL NETWORKING,2017,20(9):533-539.
APA	Zhou, Yang.,Zhang, Lei.,Liu, Xiaoqian.,Zhang, Zhen.,Bai, Shuotian.,...&Zhu, TS.(2017).Predicting the Trends of Social Events on Chinese Social Media.CYBERPSYCHOLOGY BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL NETWORKING,20(9),533-539.
MLA	Zhou, Yang,et al."Predicting the Trends of Social Events on Chinese Social Media".CYBERPSYCHOLOGY BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL NETWORKING 20.9(2017):533-539.