Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China

doi:10.1007/s00484-016-1197-9

CORC > 兰州大学 > 兰州大学 > 公共卫生学院 > 期刊论文

	Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China
	Gou, FX; Liu, XF; Ren, XW; Liu, DP; Liu, HX; Wei, KF; Yang, XT; Cheng, Y; Zheng, YH; Jiang, XJ
刊名	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
	2017-01
卷号	61 期号:1-1 页码:137-147
ISSN号	0020-7128
DOI	10.1007/s00484-016-1197-9
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	The influence of socio-ecological factors on hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) were explored in this study using Bayesian spatial modeling and spatial patterns identified in dry regions of Gansu, China. Notified HFMD cases and socio-ecological data were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Yearbook and Gansu Meteorological Bureau. A Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive model was used to quantify the effects of socio-ecological factors on the HFMD and explore spatial patterns, with the consideration of its socio-ecological effects. Our non-spatial model suggests temperature (relative risk (RR) 1.15, 95 % CI 1.01-1.31), GDP per capita (RR 1.19, 95 % CI 1.01-1.39) and population density (RR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.19-3.17) to have a significant effect on HFMD transmission. However, after controlling for spatial random effects, only temperature (RR 1.25, 95 % CI 1.04-1.53) showed significant association with HFMD. The spatial model demonstrates temperature to play a major role in the transmission of HFMD in dry regions. Estimated residual variation after taking into account the socio-ecological variables indicated that high incidences of HFMD were mainly clustered in the northwest of Gansu. And, spatial structure showed a unique distribution after taking account of socio-ecological effects.
学科主题	Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
出版地	NEW YORK
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000391821800012
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/189123]
专题	公共卫生学院_期刊论文
通讯作者	Meng, L (reprint author), Gansu Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China.; Hu, WB (reprint author), Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth Publ Hlth & Social Work, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gou, FX,Liu, XF,Ren, XW,et al. Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(1-1):137-147.
APA	Gou, FX.,Liu, XF.,Ren, XW.,Liu, DP.,Liu, HX.,...&Hu, WB .(2017).Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,61(1-1),137-147.
MLA	Gou, FX,et al."Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 61.1-1(2017):137-147.