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	Forecasting natural gas supply in China: Production peak and import trends
	Lin, Boqiang ; Lin BQ(林伯强) ; Wang, Ting
	2012-10
关键词	Peak gas Logistic and Gaussian curves China's net import of gas
英文摘要	China's natural gas consumption has increased rapidly in recent years making China a net gas importer. As a nonrenewable energy, the gas resource is exhaustible. Based on the forecast of this article, China's gas production peak is likely to approach in 2022. However, China is currently in the industrialization and urbanization stage, and its natural gas consumption will persistently increase. With China's gas production peak, China will have to face a massive expansion in gas imports. As the largest developing country, China's massive imports of gas will have an effect on the international gas market. In addition, as China's natural gas price is still controlled by the government and has remained at a low level, the massive imports of higher priced gas will exert great pressure on China's gas price reform. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.; New Huadu Business School Research Fund; China Sustainable Energy Program [G-1203-15828]; Ministry of Education Foundation [10GBJ013]; Impact of Clean Energy Development and Power Tariff Reforms on Power Grid (Guangdong Power Grid Project)
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.05.074]
专题	能源院－已发表论文
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lin, Boqiang,Lin BQ,Wang, Ting. Forecasting natural gas supply in China: Production peak and import trends[J],2012.
APA	Lin, Boqiang,林伯强,&Wang, Ting.(2012).Forecasting natural gas supply in China: Production peak and import trends..
MLA	Lin, Boqiang,et al."Forecasting natural gas supply in China: Production peak and import trends".(2012).

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