| 中国碳排放强度下降的阶段性特征研究; Characteristics of China's Carbon Emission Intensity in Different Development Stages | |
| 林伯强 ; 毛东昕 | |
| 2014-08-25 | |
| 关键词 | 碳排放强度 BP结构突变点检验 阶段性特征 Carbon emission intensity BP structural breakpoint test Characteristics in different stages |
| 英文摘要 | 本文探索性地对我国碳排放强度演变进行阶段性划分,并对每一阶段碳排放强度的变化特征进行分析。bP结构突变点检验表明,1985-2011年我国碳排放强度存在1991、1996和2006年3个结构突变点,形成4段不同的增长趋势。1991-1996年是我国碳排放强度下降最快的阶段,1996~2006年是经历时间最长,下降最慢的阶段。本文还结合lMdI分解法,探讨碳排放强度下降4个阶段的各动因变化特征。结果表明,我国碳排放强度变化最重要的影响因素是生产部门能源强度的下降,且在碳排放强度的4个不同阶段中,各影响因素对碳排放强度变化的贡献率各有特点。; This paper explored the changing carbon intensity in China and analyzed the characteristics in different development stages.The BP structural breakpoint test indicated that from 1985 to 2011,there were three points of structural breaks,which was in 1991,1996 and 2006 respectively,dividing the tendency of China's carbon intensity into four stages.It experienced a fast decline from 1991 to 1996 while showing a low decreasing rate during the period of 1996 ~ 2006.LMDI decomposition method was then employed to study what were the reasons for the declination in each different stage.The results showed the main influencing factor was the energy intensity decreased in production sector.Moreover,the contribution of each factor to the carbon intensity changes varied across the four different stages.; 新华都商学院能源经济与低碳发展研究院低碳项目; 能源基金会中国可持续能源项目(G-1305-18257); 教育部重大项目(No.10JBG013)的资助 |
| 语种 | zh_CN |
| 内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 源URL | [http://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/113431]  |
| 专题 | 经济学院－已发表论文 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 林伯强,毛东昕. 中国碳排放强度下降的阶段性特征研究, Characteristics of China's Carbon Emission Intensity in Different Development Stages[J],2014. |
| APA | 林伯强,&毛东昕.(2014).中国碳排放强度下降的阶段性特征研究.. |
| MLA | 林伯强,et al."中国碳排放强度下降的阶段性特征研究".(2014). |
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