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中国生产者服务业、制造业与出口贸易关系的实证研究; Empirical Study on Relationships between Producer Services,Manufacturing Industry and Export Trade in China
彭水军 ; 李虹静
2014-10-15
关键词产业关联度 生产者服务业 制造业 生产者服务进口 制造业出口 Linkage extent of industries Producer services Manufacturing industry Import of producer services Manufacturing export
英文摘要本文首先利用我国1987-2007年间的投入产出数据以及服务、货物贸易统计数据,通过构建产业间联系指数、直接需求系数、完全需求系数以及出口诱发系数,系统考察了我国国民经济整体的产业关联度、生产者服务业与制造业的中间投入需求关系以及制造业出口中的内涵生产者服务。结果表明,1987-2007年期间,我国经济整体的产业关联度呈明显上升态势,这与我国正处于工业化发展阶段的国情相吻合;我国制造业对生产者服务的直接和完全需求系数均有较大幅度的提高,但需求结构还有待改善,而内涵于制造业出口中的生产者服务的间接出口结构则有所优化,传统的劳动、物质资本密集型生产者服务正逐渐被人力资本、知识资本密集的现代生产者服务所替代。其次,本文进一步基于计量回归模型分析了生产者服务进口对我国制造业出口贸易的影响,研究发现,交通运输业、邮政业、金融业以及保险业这四大生产者服务部门的进口均促进了我国制造业出口贸易的发展,但对于资本密集型制造业出口的影响均不显著。; Drawing on China's Input-output tables from 1987 to 2007 and using the data on trade in services and commodities,this paper investigates the extent of industrial linkages and the direct and indirect manufacturing demand for producer services particularly by focusing on the indirect exports of producer services embodied in manufacturing exports.The findings show that the linkage extent of China's industries has increased during the year 1987-2007 which coincided with the industrial development stage of China.The manufacturing demand for producer services has significantly increased,but the demand structure still needs to be improved.However,the export structure of embodied producer services in manufacturing exports has improved.Furthermore,the relationship between imported services and manufacturing exports is examined,finding that imports in the transport,post,finance and insurance sectors will stimulate the development of manufacturing exports,but their effects on different types of manufacturing exports vary.; 教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(13JZD010); 教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(12JJD790027); 国家自然科学基金面上项目(71373218、71073131)的资助
语种zh_CN
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/113428]  
专题经济学院-已发表论文
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
彭水军,李虹静. 中国生产者服务业、制造业与出口贸易关系的实证研究, Empirical Study on Relationships between Producer Services,Manufacturing Industry and Export Trade in China[J],2014.
APA 彭水军,&李虹静.(2014).中国生产者服务业、制造业与出口贸易关系的实证研究..
MLA 彭水军,et al."中国生产者服务业、制造业与出口贸易关系的实证研究".(2014).
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