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	金融发展、台商投资与两岸贸易——基于两岸金融经贸相互依存性的VAR模型分析; Financial Development,Taiwan Investment in Mainland China and Cross-strait Trade
	武力超 ; 陈曦
	2013-06-15
关键词	台商投资 两岸贸易 台湾金融发展 向量误差修正模型 Taiwan investment in mainland China Cross-strait trade Taiwan financial development VECM model
英文摘要	以台湾金融发展、台商投资和两岸贸易相关月度数据为样本,基于VAr模型分析台湾金融发展、台商投资与两岸贸易间协同互动关系。研究表明:台湾金融发展与台商投资、两岸贸易间存在稳定的长期均衡关系,台湾金融发展和台商投资已成为推动两岸贸易增长的重要因素,台湾金融发展与台商投资间具有相互促进作用,两岸经贸投资与台湾金融发展间的协动关系已初现,未来随着台湾金融的不断发展,两岸金融合作的继续深化,两岸间具有广阔的经贸投资合作空间;短期内台湾金融发展对台商投资和两岸经贸间相关性较弱,台商投资对两岸贸易存在单向递增因果关系。因此应加快两岸金融合作步伐,并积极吸引台商投资,促进两岸经贸合作升级。; Based on the VAR model,we did an empirical study on the collaborative and interactive relationship among Taiwan’s financial development,Taiwan investment in mainland China and cross-strait trade with their relative monthly data.The results show that there is a stable long-run equilibrium among the financial development,Taiwan investment and cross-strait trade.The financial development and Taiwan investment in mainland China play an important role in promoting cross-strait trade growth.The financial development of Taiwan and the Taiwan investment in mainland China have a function of reinforcing each other,the association between the cross-strait trade,investment and financial development demonstrated that,with the continuous development of Taiwan’s financial sector,the cross-strait financial cooperation will continue to deepen,the cooperation between the two sides in trade and investment will broaden.In the short term,the development of Taiwan's finance has a weak correlation with Taiwan investment in mainland China and cross-strait trade,and Taiwan investment in mainland China reinforces the cross-strait trade in one-way.Therefore,we should accelerate the pace of cross-strait financial cooperation,and actively attract Taiwan investment in mainland China to promote the cross-strait economic and trade cooperation.; 国家社会科学基金项目(12BJL049); 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系引进人才科研启动经费
语种	zh_CN
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/112722]
专题	经济学院－已发表论文
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	武力超,陈曦. 金融发展、台商投资与两岸贸易——基于两岸金融经贸相互依存性的VAR模型分析, Financial Development,Taiwan Investment in Mainland China and Cross-strait Trade[J],2013.
APA	武力超,&陈曦.(2013).金融发展、台商投资与两岸贸易——基于两岸金融经贸相互依存性的VAR模型分析..
MLA	武力超,et al."金融发展、台商投资与两岸贸易——基于两岸金融经贸相互依存性的VAR模型分析".(2013).

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