平和县蜜柚产量的灰色分析与动态预测

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	平和县蜜柚产量的灰色分析与动态预测
	谢先全 ; 蔡月明
刊名	http://epub.edu.cnki.net/grid2008/brief/detailj.aspx?filename=fjnd200803008&dbcode=CJFQ&dbname=CJFQ2008
	2012-06-05 ; 2012-06-05
关键词	灰色系统 GM(1,1)模型蜜柚产量 grey system GM(1,1) model pomelo yield S666.3
其他题名	Grey analysis and dynamic forecast of pomelo yield in Pinghe County
中文摘要	根据1991-2004年平和县蜜柚的统计资料以及《福建统计年鉴》的统计数据,运用灰色预测理论,建立动态GM(1,1)模型,对平和县未来5 a的蜜柚总产量进行动态预测.在此基础上,利用灰色关联分析方法对平和县蜜柚生产的影响因素进行定量分析,评估蜜柚生产中诸因素的作用,以促进蜜柚生产的可持续增长.; According to the statistical data about the pomelo in Pinghe County during 1991-2004 and the data of Fujian Statistical Annual during 1992-2005,by using the grey system theory and setting up the GM(1,1) model,the varying trend of the total pomelo yield in the next 5 years was predicted.The factors affecting pomelo yield were quantificationally analyzed,and the effects of these factors on pomelo production were also evaluated,so as to promote the sustainable development of pomelo production.; 【作者单位】集美大学理学院；集美大学理学院福建厦门361021；福建厦门361021；【作者英文名】XIE Xian-quan,CAI Yue-ming(School of Sciences,Jimei University,Xiamen,Fujian 361021,China)
语种	中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.calis.edu.cn/hdl/235041/16055]
专题	集美大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	谢先全,蔡月明. 平和县蜜柚产量的灰色分析与动态预测[J]. http://epub.edu.cnki.net/grid2008/brief/detailj.aspx?filename=fjnd200803008&dbcode=CJFQ&dbname=CJFQ2008,2012, 2012.
APA	谢先全,&蔡月明.(2012).平和县蜜柚产量的灰色分析与动态预测.http://epub.edu.cnki.net/grid2008/brief/detailj.aspx?filename=fjnd200803008&dbcode=CJFQ&dbname=CJFQ2008.
MLA	谢先全,et al."平和县蜜柚产量的灰色分析与动态预测".http://epub.edu.cnki.net/grid2008/brief/detailj.aspx?filename=fjnd200803008&dbcode=CJFQ&dbname=CJFQ2008 (2012).