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	大型体育赛事风险预警模型与应对策略研究
	霍德利 ; 仇慧 ; 仇军 ; HUO Deli ; QIU Hui ; QIU Jun
	2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词	体育赛事 风险 预警 模型 G808.2
其他题名	Risk Early-warning and Coping Strategies of Major Sports Events
中文摘要	为了对大型体育赛事风险状况进行有效的预警,进而减少风险的影响,顺利实现体育赛事风险管理的预期目标,首先结合大型体育赛事风险的特点,提出了基于BP神经网络的风险预警模型,并对模型的有效性进行了验证。验证结果表明,基于BP神经网络的大型体育赛事风险预警模型能够取得较好的预警效果。然后,在风险预警研究的基础上,针对大型体育赛事中的3种风险,即自然环境风险、赛事管理风险和社会环境风险及其相应的风险级别,即轻警、中警和重警,建立了赛事风险应对矩阵,以期有效地应对大型体育赛事中所发生的各种风险状况,为大型体育赛事最终目标的顺利实现提供有力的保证。; In order to early warn effectively the risk status of large-scale sports events,and thus to reduce the influence degree of risk to implement successfully the risk management targets of sports events,the risk warning model of BP neural network is presented finally in the paper by combination with the risk features of large-scale sports events,and the validity of the model is verified. The verification result shows that the risk warning model of BP neural network is able to acquire better warning effect. Then,based on the risk early-warning,the risk response matrix is established to effectively respond to the various risk status of major sports events and provide a powerful guarantee for the smooth realization of the ultimate goal of the major sports events according to three types of risk( the risk of natural environment,the risk of sports events management and the risk of social environment) in the major sports events and the corresponding risk levels( slight warning,moderate warning,severe warning).
语种	中文 ; 中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/148534]
专题	清华大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	霍德利,仇慧,仇军,等. 大型体育赛事风险预警模型与应对策略研究[J],2016, 2016.
APA	霍德利,仇慧,仇军,HUO Deli,QIU Hui,&QIU Jun.(2016).大型体育赛事风险预警模型与应对策略研究..
MLA	霍德利,et al."大型体育赛事风险预警模型与应对策略研究".(2016).

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