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人口老龄化背景下国内旅游业发展前景的实证分析——基于边限协整检验
薛伟玲 ; 陆杰华 ; XUE Wei-ling ; LU Jie-hua
2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词行政诉讼 国家 社会 争议 C913.6 F592.6
其他题名Study on the Perspective of China's Domestic Tourism Development under the Context of Aging
中文摘要尽管人口老龄化问题得到了广泛关注,但对于作为老龄产业不可或缺的老年旅游业的实证研究却很少。我们选取1995-2011年65岁及以上老年人口在总人口中的比重、国内游客人次、国内旅游总花费、人均国内生产总值变量,采用边限协整检验方法探讨当前中国老龄化和国内旅游业发展之间的有机关联。结果表明,人口老龄化和国内游客人次变量之间存在长期协整关系;但是,人口老龄化和国内旅游总花费变量之间却未表现出稳定的长期协整关系。为了推进老龄旅游业的持续发展,须做好两方面工作:一是继续稳步提高老年社会保障水平,以提升老年人购买力;二是在国内旅游规划、产品开发和服务提供中要充分考虑老年人的需求。; This study uses data about the ratio of elderly people in the total population of China,the number of trips taken by tourists,the total domestic spending on tourism,and the per capital GDP in the years from 1995 to 2011 as a basis of analysis so as to explore the relationship between aging and the development of the tourist industry. It is found that there has been a facilitating relationship between aging and the frequency of trips taken by domestic tourists,and yet aging is not a consistent factor of facilitation for the total spending on domestic tourism. Therefore,old people's purchasing power should be expanded by means of greater coverage of social insurance,and tourism should cater to old people by developing more suitable tour packages.
语种中文 ; 中文
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/147991]  
专题清华大学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
薛伟玲,陆杰华,XUE Wei-ling,等. 人口老龄化背景下国内旅游业发展前景的实证分析——基于边限协整检验[J],2016, 2016.
APA 薛伟玲,陆杰华,XUE Wei-ling,&LU Jie-hua.(2016).人口老龄化背景下国内旅游业发展前景的实证分析——基于边限协整检验..
MLA 薛伟玲,et al."人口老龄化背景下国内旅游业发展前景的实证分析——基于边限协整检验".(2016).
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