| 基于标量场分析的远景负荷预测新方法 | |
| 梁锦照 ; 夏清 ; LIANG Jinzhao ; XIA Qing | |
| 2010-06-10 ; 2010-06-10 | |
| 关键词 | 远景负荷预测 负荷密度法 饱和负荷 标量场 long-term load forecasting load-density method saturation load scalar field TM715 |
| 其他题名 | A New Method of Long-term Load Forecasting Based on Scalar Field Analysis |
| 中文摘要 | 相近地域的负荷存在辐射效应。负荷的辐射效应主要体现在居民负荷与商业负荷之间,工业负荷的辐射作用相对不明显,随机性比较大。提出了一种考虑商业负荷和居民负荷辐射效应的新方法,应用于远景负荷预测。在依据负荷密度法对地块负荷进行饱和预测的基础上,借鉴标量场分析方法,考虑地块居民与商业负荷之间的辐射作用,对地块负荷预测结果进行调整,使之更符合负荷的实际分布规律。文中提出的方法已应用于中山电网远景负荷预测。算例表明采用所提出的方法能使负荷分布更合理。; There is radiation effect among power loads in adjacent regions.The radiation effect is obvious among commercial load and residential load.It is less obvious among industrial loads,with more randomization.A new method is proposed,which takes radiation effect among power loads into consideration referring to scalar field.The new method is applied in long-term load forecasting.Firstly,the saturate load of each area is predicted through load-density method.Then,the loads are adjusted as taking radiation effect into account.After adjustment,the result would be close to practical situation.The method has been employed in Zhongshan Power Supply Bureau.Through case study and application,the validity of the method is proved. |
| 语种 | 中文 ; 中文 |
| 内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 源URL | [http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/61959]  |
| 专题 | 清华大学 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 梁锦照,夏清,LIANG Jinzhao,等. 基于标量场分析的远景负荷预测新方法[J],2010, 2010. |
| APA | 梁锦照,夏清,LIANG Jinzhao,&XIA Qing.(2010).基于标量场分析的远景负荷预测新方法.. |
| MLA | 梁锦照,et al."基于标量场分析的远景负荷预测新方法".(2010). |
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