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基于随机实验的蠕虫传播预测研究
刘烃 ; 郑庆华 ; 管晓宏 ; 屈宇 ; 王娜 ; LIU Ting ; ZHENG Qin-hua ; GUAN Xiao-hong ; QU Yu ; WANG Na
2010-06-09 ; 2010-06-09
关键词蠕虫 蠕虫传播预测 随机过程 worm worm-propagation prediction stochastic process TP393.08
其他题名Research of worm-propagation prediction based on stochastic experiment
中文摘要蠕虫传播预测是蠕虫防御的基础之一,但随着蠕虫扫描策略日趋多样和互联网结构逐步复杂,在蠕虫爆发初期及时建立精确的蠕虫传播模型变得越来越困难。利用随机仿真实验来模拟蠕虫在网络中的传播行为,通过统计分析仿真实验结果,发现蠕虫传播实验结果是一个随机过程,而实验结果间存在很高的线性相关性。由此提出一种基于仿真实验统计结果的蠕虫传播趋势预测方法,该方法可以利用0.1%存在漏洞主机的感染信息精确的预测蠕虫传播趋势。; The prediction of the worm propagation is the basis of the worm defense.It is becoming more difficult to model the propagation of worms in the early stage of worm-spreading,because the worm strategies are smarter and the Internet structure is more complicated than ever before.In present study,a stochastic simulator was designed to simulate the propagation of worms.From the analysis of 1000 groups of experiment results,it was proved that the worm-propagation is a stochastic process,and the correlation coefficient between each group of results is close to 1.Therefore,a new prediction method was proposed,which could accurately calculate the propagation of worm when 0.1% of all vulnerable hosts were infected.; 国家自然科学基金资助项目(60574087,60473136); 国家高技术研究发展计划(“863”计划)基金资助项目(2007AA01Z475,2007AA01Z480,2007AA01Z464); 国家“111引智计划”基金资助项目~~
语种中文 ; 中文
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/57935]  
专题清华大学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
刘烃,郑庆华,管晓宏,等. 基于随机实验的蠕虫传播预测研究[J],2010, 2010.
APA 刘烃.,郑庆华.,管晓宏.,屈宇.,王娜.,...&WANG Na.(2010).基于随机实验的蠕虫传播预测研究..
MLA 刘烃,et al."基于随机实验的蠕虫传播预测研究".(2010).
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