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	基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境
	张仕荣 ; Zhang Shirong
	2010-06-07 ; 2010-06-07
关键词	自组织理论 美日台关系 结构性困境 Self-organizing Theory US-Japan-Taiwan Relations Structural Quagmire D871.2 D831.3 D618
其他题名	Structural Quagmire of US-Japan-Taiwan Trilateral Relations from the Perspective of Self-Organizing Theory
中文摘要	2008年以来两岸关系逐步趋于缓和,中、美、日三国围绕台湾问题的博弈也正在向着有利于台海地区稳定的方向转换,但是美日"以台制华"的战略思维定势不会轻易改变。本文基于复杂性科学中的自组织理论,深入剖析历史上形成的美日台"同盟"关系以及当前面临的结构性困境,同时就如何在中美日关系三边架构中处理好台湾问题提出相关建议。; With the gradual warming of cross-Strait ties since 2008,the maneuverings of China,the United States and Japan with regards to the Taiwan issue have also shifted towards maintaining greater stability in the region.However,the US' and Japan's strategic thinking to use Taiwan to contain China will not easily change even with this shift:This article applies I Prigogine's self-organizing argument of the chaos theory to analyze the historical formation of the US-Japan-Taiwan"alliance".Even though"selforganized"in itself—in the sense that the current US-Japan-Taiwan relations yield to no external instructions to realize self-organization,self-creation and self-evolution—the fact remains that the structure of geostrategic security interests between the three parties are highly unbalanced.With the increasing importance of China in regional affairs,this"self-organized"structure will come under increasing pressures,as the interest framework that has held the"alliance"together breaks down further.On top of analyzing this structural quagmire faced by the US-Japan-Taiwan trilateral relations,this article also makes suggestions to manage the Taiwan issue within the framework of China-US-Japan relations.
语种	中文 ; 中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/43134]
专题	清华大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	张仕荣,Zhang Shirong. 基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境[J],2010, 2010.
APA	张仕荣,&Zhang Shirong.(2010).基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境..
MLA	张仕荣,et al."基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境".(2010).

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