Mapping intra-urban transmission risk of dengue fever with big hourly cellphone data

	Mapping intra-urban transmission risk of dengue fever with big hourly cellphone data
	Mao, Liang; Yin, Ling; Song, Xiaoqing; Mei, Shujiang
刊名	ACTA TROPICA
	2016
英文摘要	Cellphone tracking has been recently integrated into risk assessment of disease transmission, because travel behavior of disease carriers can be depicted in unprecedented details. Still in its infancy, such an integration has been limited to: 1) risk assessment only at national and provincial scales, where intra-urban human movements are neglected, and 2) using irregularly logged cellphone data that miss numerous user movements. Furthermore, few risk assessments have considered positional uncertainty of cellphone data. This study proposed a new framework for mapping intra-urban disease risk with regularly logged cellphone tracking data, taking the dengue fever in Shenzhen city as an example. Hourly tracking records of 5.85 million cellphone users, combined with the random forest classification and mosquito activities, were utilized to estimate the local transmission risk of dengue fever and the importation risk through travels. Stochastic simulations were further employed to quantify the uncertainty of risk. The resultant maps suggest targeted interventions to maximally reduce dengue cases exported to other places, as well as appropriate interventions to contain risk in places that import them. Given the popularity of cellphone use in urbanized areas, this framework can be adopted by other cities to design spatiotemporally resolved programs for disease control. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
收录类别	SCI
原文出处	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001706X16301292
语种	英语
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.siat.ac.cn:8080/handle/172644/10196]
专题	深圳先进技术研究院_数字所
作者单位	ACTA TROPICA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mao, Liang,Yin, Ling,Song, Xiaoqing,et al. Mapping intra-urban transmission risk of dengue fever with big hourly cellphone data[J]. ACTA TROPICA,2016.
APA	Mao, Liang,Yin, Ling,Song, Xiaoqing,&Mei, Shujiang.(2016).Mapping intra-urban transmission risk of dengue fever with big hourly cellphone data.ACTA TROPICA.
MLA	Mao, Liang,et al."Mapping intra-urban transmission risk of dengue fever with big hourly cellphone data".ACTA TROPICA (2016).