Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory

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	Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory
	Yin XC(尹祥础); Wang YC; Peng KY; Bai YL(白以龙); Wang HT; Yin XF
刊名	PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS
	2000
卷号	157 期号:11-12 页码:2365-2383
关键词	Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) earthquake prediction random distribution of LURR intermittent SOC tidal triggering earthquake
ISSN号	0033-4553
通讯作者	Yin, XC (reprint author), CAS, Inst Mech, LNM, Beijing 100036, Peoples R China.
产权排序	CAS, Inst Mech, LNM, Beijing 100036, Peoples R China; CSB, CAP, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China; MWR, Water Resources & Hydropower Planning & Design Ge, Beijing 100011, Peoples R China
中文摘要	The seismogenic process is nonlinear and irreversible so that the response to loading is different from unloading. This difference reflects the damage of a loaded material. Based on this insight, a new parameter-load/unload response ratio (LURR) was proposed to measure quantitatively the proximity to rock failure and earthquake more than ten years ago. In the present paper, we review the fundamental concept of LURR, the validation of LURR with experimental and numerical simulation, the retrospective examination of LURR with new cases in different tectonic settings (California, USA, and Kanto region, Japan), the statistics of earthquake prediction in terms of LURR theory and the random distribution of LURR under Poisson's model. Finally we discuss LURR as a parameter to judge the closeness degree to SOC state of the system and the measurement of tidal triggering earthquake. The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) theory was first proposed in 1984 (YIN, 1987). Subsequently, a series of advances were made (YIN and YIN, 1991; YIN, 1993; YIN rt al., 1994a,b, 1995; MARUYAMA, 1995). In this paper, the new results after 1995 are summarized (YIN el al., 1996; WANG et al., 1998a, 1999; ZHUANG and YIN, 1999).
类目[WOS]	Geochemistry & Geophysics
研究领域[WOS]	Geochemistry & Geophysics
关键词[WOS]	CALIFORNIA ; PARKFIELD ; MODEL
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000166705300029
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/58490]
专题	力学研究所_力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yin XC,Wang YC,Peng KY,et al. Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory[J]. PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS,2000,157(11-12):2365-2383.
APA	尹祥础,Wang YC,Peng KY,白以龙,Wang HT,&Yin XF.(2000).Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory.PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS,157(11-12),2365-2383.
MLA	尹祥础,et al."Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory".PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS 157.11-12(2000):2365-2383.